BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Chris Padilla vs.
James Llontop

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-0-1 Chris Padilla · UFC
0-3-0 James Llontop · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-0-1
UFC record
0-3-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
30.9
AgeΔ 3.9 yrs
27
5'9"
HeightΔ 3"
6'0"
74"
ReachΔ 1"
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
3.8
Layoff (months)Δ 16.8 mo
20.6
DWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

James Llontop rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Chris Padilla outworks the Lightweight division — 6.19 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.42 norm.
James Llontop outworks the Lightweight division — 5.85 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.42 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Chris Padilla

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 32
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 31
Tier 3 — regional circuit 103

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.01 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

James Llontop

Full career not yet synced for James Llontop — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3306.19/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
2025.85/min · norm 3.42
2604.88/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
1755.07/min · norm 3.37
54.2%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
38.5%norm 43.5%
49.4%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
52.4%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Chris Padilla

Distance 88.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.6% (norm 8.0%)

James Llontop

Distance 95.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 0.2% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Chris Padilla

Head 58.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 29.1% (norm 7.9%)

James Llontop

Head 64.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 21.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 15.0% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Padilla L/AAccLightweight med Llontop L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 273 / 540 50.6% 37.9% 185 / 499 37.1% 37.9%
In the clinch 40 / 47 85.1% 67.3% 16 / 25 64.0% 67.3%
On the ground 17 / 22 too few to rate 69.1% 1 / 1 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 166 / 353 47.0% 35.0% 76 / 336 22.6% 35.0%
To the body 55 / 79 69.6% 69.1% 68 / 110 61.8% 69.1%
To the legs 109 / 177 61.6% 81.9% 58 / 79 73.4% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Padilla L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Llontop L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 232 / 480 48.3% 38.9% 158 / 347 45.5% 38.9%
In the clinch 28 / 34 82.4% 68.6% 8 / 9 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 68.0% 9 / 12 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 160 / 393 40.7% 35.1% 108 / 287 37.6% 35.1%
To the body 48 / 62 77.4% 68.1% 37 / 49 75.5% 68.1%
To the legs 52 / 59 88.1% 81.5% 30 / 32 93.8% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

428.6% acc · 1.13/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.38
880.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
125.0% def · norm 64.0%
10:3119.7% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
1:254.1% of cage time · norm 19.5%
0:440:12 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
1:390:42 per 15 · norm 2:46
10.28/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Padilla has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.