Chris Duncan vs.
Renato Moicano
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Chris Duncan
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 10 | 3 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 5 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.68 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 18 documented bouts
In the UFC: 4-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500
Renato Moicano
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 13 | 7 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 8 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.29 · 13 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 29 documented bouts
In the UFC: 9-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Chris Duncan
Distance 89.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.2% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 6.0% (norm 8.0%)
Renato Moicano
Distance 88.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 2.1% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 9.9% (norm 8.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Chris Duncan
Head 73.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 14.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 12.2% (norm 7.9%)
Renato Moicano
Head 82.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 10.0% (norm 7.9%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Duncan L/A | Acc | Lightweight med | Moicano L/A | Acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 264 / 624 | 42.3% | 37.9% | 636 / 1379 | 46.1% | 37.9% |
| In the clinch | 22 / 29 | 75.9% | 67.3% | 25 / 33 | 75.8% | 67.3% |
| On the ground | 35 / 42 | 83.3% | 69.1% | 110 / 155 | 71.0% | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 194 / 508 | 38.2% | 35.0% | 563 / 1296 | 43.4% | 35.0% |
| To the body | 73 / 102 | 71.6% | 69.1% | 75 / 114 | 65.8% | 69.1% |
| To the legs | 54 / 85 | 63.5% | 81.9% | 133 / 157 | 84.7% | 81.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Duncan L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med | vs Moicano L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 256 / 567 | 45.1% | 38.9% | 556 / 1502 | 37.0% | 38.9% |
| In the clinch | 33 / 43 | 76.7% | 68.6% | 27 / 36 | 75.0% | 68.6% |
| On the ground | 6 / 9 | too few to rate | 68.0% | 85 / 119 | 71.4% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 217 / 520 | 41.7% | 35.1% | 419 / 1331 | 31.5% | 35.1% |
| To the body | 34 / 49 | 69.4% | 68.1% | 123 / 176 | 69.9% | 68.1% |
| To the legs | 44 / 50 | 88.0% | 81.5% | 126 / 150 | 84.0% | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Moicano has more cage time on record.