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Lightweight · “The Problem”

Chris Duncan

15-3-0 UFC 6-2-0
Relentless Attack Wrestler
5'10"Height
71"Reach
OrthodoxStance
33Age
0KO wins
3Sub wins
50.0%Finish rate
8:43Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 against every UFC veteran · the rim is reserved for specialists, and only efficiency opens it
Striking — Average, rated 67.1 of 100 Accuracy — Average, rated 54.7 of 100 Striking D — Below avg, rated 28.9 of 100 Durability — Above avg, rated 70.2 of 100 Wrestling — Above avg, rated 76.2 of 100 TD Defense — Below avg, rated 35.4 of 100 Grappling — Average, rated 60.6 of 100 Control — Average, rated 58.1 of 100 Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Duncan · March 29, 2026 watch ↗
grappling good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Duncan · March 29, 2026 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 1 read
grappling good 1 read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

Built on 69 minutes of tracked cage time across 8 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Relentless Attack 83 offensive actions per 15 min — strikes, takedown and submission attempts together
Wrestler above avg wrestling — rates 76 of 100 among UFC veterans
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min4.6
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.23
Striking accuracy46.2%
Striking defense52.3%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.43
Takedowns / 15 min2.8
Takedown accuracy40.6%
Takedown defense55.6%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.65
Control time21.8%
Record vs .500+ opponents4-2

Insider info

1 analyst read · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
Renato Moicano favored — picked against Chris Duncan clear UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Duncan · March 29, 2026
strikinggood grapplinggood

Picked against clearly, with the analyst saying the opponent's grappling should take over if this becomes the brawl this fighter wants.

On a hot streak and trending upward. Good striker, especially when things get messy -- turning the fight into a chaotic standing brawl is genuinely his clearest route to winning. Hits hard and throws a solid leg kick, and while defense on the feet is shaky, that matters less in a slugfest where both guys are eating shots. Grappling checks out too -- strong cage push, good control once he's there, serviceable takedowns, and he'll capitalize on submission chances, especially the guillotine, which has been his most common finish, though the analyst is skeptical it lands against this particular opponent. Jab is sharp and sets up a sneaky uppercut, technically well-thrown but not a real fight-ending shot given how little power is actually behind it.

Strengththrives in a chaotic brawl, hits hard
Strengthstrong cage push and control, opportunistic with the guillotine
Strengthsharp jab that sets up a sneaky, clean-landing uppercut
Weaknessshaky striking defense
Weaknessgo-to guillotine finish unlikely to work against this specific opponent
ko power · good

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 8 fights · green = win
March 18, 2023 vs Omar Morales — 3.53/min (W) Mar '23 July 22, 2023 vs Yanal Ashmouz — 5.67/min (W) Jul '23 February 24, 2024 vs Manuel Torres — 0.57/min (L) — only 1.8 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Feb '24 September 28, 2024 vs Bolaji Oki — 2.8/min (W) — only 3.6 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Sep '24 March 22, 2025 vs Jordan Vucenic — 1.72/min (W) Mar '25 August 2, 2025 vs Mateusz Rebecki — 6.13/min (W) Aug '25 December 6, 2025 vs Terrance McKinney — 15.2/min (W) — only 2.5 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Dec '25 April 4, 2026 vs Renato Moicano — 3.28/min (L) Apr '26

Fight history

8 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Renato Moicano 20-7-1 walk-in Submission · R2 3:14 — UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · April 4, 2026
27/62Sig. strikes
21/36Absorbed
0/2Takedowns
0:01Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Terrance McKinney 17-7 walk-in Submission · R1 2:30 — UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · December 6, 2025
38/55Sig. strikes
31/57Absorbed
1/2Takedowns
1:10Control
1Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W Mateusz Rebecki 20-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · August 2, 2025
92/222Sig. strikes
114/267Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:27Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Jordan Vucenic 0-1 walk-in Submission · R2 3:42 — UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · March 22, 2025
15/40Sig. strikes
16/26Absorbed
4/5Takedowns
5:37Control
1Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W Bolaji Oki 1-0 walk-in Submission · R1 3:34 — UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · September 28, 2024
10/25Sig. strikes
28/50Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
L Manuel Torres 13-2 walk-in Submission · R1 1:46 — UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · February 24, 2024
1/2Sig. strikes
3/5Absorbed
1/3Takedowns
0:40Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Yanal Ashmouz 1-0 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · July 22, 2023
85/206Sig. strikes
35/98Absorbed
2/4Takedowns
0:48Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Omar Morales 11-3 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · March 18, 2023
53/83Sig. strikes
47/80Absorbed
5/14Takedowns
6:31Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
15-3-0Pro record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 7
Submission 4
Decision 4
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 2
Decision 0
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 8
Bellator 3
Dana White's Contender Series 2
Ultimate Fight League 2
On Top 2
Unity FC 1
Full career — 18 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
L Renato Moicano Submission (face crank) UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
April 4, 2026
UFC 2 3:14
W Terrance McKinney Submission (anaconda choke) UFC 323
December 6, 2025
UFC 1 2:30
W Mateusz Rębecki Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Taira vs. Park
August 2, 2025
UFC 3 5:00
W Jordan Vucenic Submission (guillotine choke) UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
March 22, 2025
UFC 2 3:42
W Bolaji Oki Technical submission (guillotine choke) UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis
September 28, 2024
UFC 1 3:44
L Manuel Torres Submission (rear-naked choke) UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
February 24, 2024
UFC 1 1:46
W Yanal Ashmouz Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
July 22, 2023
UFC 3 5:00
W Omar Morales Decision (split) UFC 286
March 18, 2023
UFC 3 5:00
W Charlie Campbell KO (punches) Dana White's Contender Series 48
August 2, 2022
Dana White's Contender Series 1 1:43
W Jonathan Carlos Decision (unanimous) Ultimate Fight League 8
February 5, 2022
Ultimate Fight League 3 5:00
L Viacheslav Borshchev KO (punch) Dana White's Contender Series 43
October 12, 2021
Dana White's Contender Series 2 0:28
W Iamik Furtado TKO (punches) Bellator 247
October 1, 2020
Bellator 2 3:58
W Mateusz Piskorz TKO (punches) Bellator 240
February 22, 2020
Bellator 2 2:43
W Leandro Souza TKO (punches) Ultimate Fight League 3
August 4, 2019
Ultimate Fight League 1 4:03
W Sam Slater TKO (punches) Bellator 217
February 23, 2019
Bellator 1 3:00
W Niall Smith TKO (punches) On Top 21
November 17, 2018
On Top 1 —
W Steve Moore TKO (punches) On Top: Showdown
June 2, 2018
On Top 3 —
W Pietro Colonna Submission (guillotine choke) Unity FC 1
April 7, 2018
Unity FC 2 4:47

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Chris Duncan (fighter)) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 196 qualified Lightweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 4.6 avg 3.5
Strikes absorbed /min 4.2 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 46.2% avg 43.9%
Striking defense 52.3% avg 55.7%
Takedowns /15 min 2.8 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 40.6% avg 38.0%
Takedown defense 55.6% avg 61.4%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.7 avg 0.6
Control time 21.8% avg 21.2%
Finish rate 50.0% avg 50.7%