Chase Sherman vs.
Justin Willis
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Chase Sherman
Full career not yet synced for Chase Sherman — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500
Justin Willis
Full career not yet synced for Justin Willis — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.6 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Chase Sherman
Distance 94.3% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 4.3% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 1.4% (norm 9.3%)
Justin Willis
Distance 83.1% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 7.6% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 9.3% (norm 9.3%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Chase Sherman
Head 74.8% (norm 79.2%) · Body 12.3% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 12.9% (norm 7.6%)
Justin Willis
Head 87.1% (norm 79.2%) · Body 7.3% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 5.6% (norm 7.6%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Sherman L/A | Acc | Heavyweight med | Willis L/A | Acc | Heavyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 882 / 2010 | 43.9% | 40.1% | 168 / 296 | 56.8% | 40.1% |
| In the clinch | 67 / 92 | 72.8% | 70.6% | 14 / 27 | 51.9% | 70.6% |
| On the ground | 20 / 29 | 69.0% | 70.2% | 29 / 33 | 87.9% | 70.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 531 / 1594 | 33.3% | 38.9% | 176 / 310 | 56.8% | 38.9% |
| To the body | 199 / 262 | 76.0% | 76.8% | 19 / 26 | 73.1% | 76.8% |
| To the legs | 239 / 275 | 86.9% | 87.8% | 16 / 20 | too few to rate | 87.8% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Sherman L/A | Opp acc | Heavyweight med | vs Willis L/A | Opp acc | Heavyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 941 / 2069 | 45.5% | 40.7% | 123 / 326 | 37.7% | 40.7% |
| In the clinch | 74 / 102 | 72.5% | 70.6% | 24 / 35 | 68.6% | 70.6% |
| On the ground | 51 / 66 | 77.3% | 72.0% | 14 / 21 | too few to rate | 72.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 823 / 1918 | 42.9% | 38.8% | 68 / 260 | 26.2% | 38.8% |
| To the body | 145 / 200 | 72.5% | 75.1% | 55 / 80 | 68.8% | 75.1% |
| To the legs | 98 / 119 | 82.4% | 84.4% | 38 / 42 | 90.5% | 84.4% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Sherman has more cage time on record.