BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Chase Hooper vs.
Lance Gibson Jr.

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

9-5-0 Chase Hooper · UFC
1-1-0 Lance Gibson Jr. · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

9-5-0
UFC record
1-1-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
26.9
AgeΔ 4.6 yrs
31.5
6'1"
Height
74"
Reach
Southpaw
Stance
0.6
Layoff (months)Δ 3.7 mo
4.3
WLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Chase Hooper is a submission threat — 2.05 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Lance Gibson Jr. carries real power — 0.84 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Chase Hooper hunts takedowns — 2.82 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Chase Hooper

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 105
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.38 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 23 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Lance Gibson Jr.

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 11
Tier 3 — regional circuit 34

Tier-weighted record quality: -0.33 · 1 tier-1/2 wins · 2 finish wins over 9 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5054.32/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
432.40/min · norm 3.42
3573.05/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
764.24/min · norm 3.37
47.6%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
45.7%norm 43.5%
40.6%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
56.1%norm 56.3%
10.13/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.84/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Chase Hooper

Distance 72.4% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 9.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 18.1% (norm 8.0%)

Lance Gibson Jr.

Distance 85.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 14.9% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Chase Hooper

Head 81.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.2% (norm 7.9%)

Lance Gibson Jr.

Head 55.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 18.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 26.6% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Hooper L/AAccLightweight med Jr. L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 311 / 768 40.5% 37.9% 34 / 80 42.5% 37.9%
In the clinch 59 / 101 58.4% 67.3% 9 / 14 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 135 / 192 70.3% 69.1% 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 357 / 869 41.1% 35.0% 15 / 52 28.8% 35.0%
To the body 93 / 126 73.8% 69.1% 10 / 17 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 55 / 66 83.3% 81.9% 18 / 25 72.0% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Hooper L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Jr. L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 254 / 475 53.5% 38.9% 67 / 160 41.9% 38.9%
In the clinch 33 / 44 75.0% 68.6% 1 / 2 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 70 / 82 85.4% 68.0% 8 / 11 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 255 / 482 52.9% 35.1% 28 / 95 29.5% 35.1%
To the body 51 / 63 81.0% 68.1% 29 / 48 60.4% 68.1%
To the legs 51 / 56 91.1% 81.5% 19 / 30 63.3% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2234.4% acc · 2.82/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
266.7% acc · 1.67/15 · norm 1.38
950.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
375.0% def · norm 64.0%
41:4035.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
1:177.2% of cage time · norm 19.5%
24:193:07 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
0:500:41 per 15 · norm 2:46
162.05/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Hooper has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.