Casey O'Neill vs. Roxanne Modafferi
Tale of the tape
The read
Level of competition
Casey O'Neill
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 6 | 2 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 5 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.57 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 13 documented bouts
In the UFC: 3-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500
Roxanne Modafferi
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 4 | 8 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 0 | 1 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 21 | 11 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.22 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 45 documented bouts
In the UFC: 3-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500
Striking
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Casey O'Neill
Distance 87.1% (norm 87.5%) · Clinch 3.2% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 9.8% (norm 4.5%)
Roxanne Modafferi
Distance 93.4% (norm 87.5%) · Clinch 2.6% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 3.9% (norm 4.5%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Casey O'Neill
Head 85.4% (norm 78.1%) · Body 9.3% (norm 14.5%) · Legs 5.3% (norm 7.6%)
Roxanne Modafferi
Head 92.2% (norm 78.1%) · Body 5.5% (norm 14.5%) · Legs 2.3% (norm 7.6%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | O'Neill L/A | Acc | Women's Flyweight med | Modafferi L/A | Acc | Women's Flyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 551 / 1133 | 48.6% | 40.3% | 532 / 1920 | 27.7% | 40.3% |
| In the clinch | 31 / 41 | 75.6% | 73.9% | 35 / 54 | 64.8% | 73.9% |
| On the ground | 96 / 127 | 75.6% | 74.4% | 55 / 81 | 67.9% | 74.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 519 / 1111 | 46.7% | 36.0% | 523 / 1894 | 27.6% | 36.0% |
| To the body | 94 / 121 | 77.7% | 69.5% | 62 / 114 | 54.4% | 69.5% |
| To the legs | 65 / 69 | 94.2% | 82.3% | 37 / 47 | 78.7% | 82.3% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 47 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 47 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs O'Neill L/A | Opp acc | Women's Flyweight med | vs Modafferi L/A | Opp acc | Women's Flyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 384 / 1007 | 38.1% | 39.0% | 906 / 1995 | 45.4% | 39.0% |
| In the clinch | 63 / 80 | 78.8% | 73.8% | 72 / 94 | 76.6% | 73.8% |
| On the ground | 31 / 40 | 77.5% | 73.4% | 71 / 109 | 65.1% | 73.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 356 / 982 | 36.3% | 35.0% | 799 / 1888 | 42.3% | 35.0% |
| To the body | 88 / 108 | 81.5% | 69.0% | 126 / 181 | 69.6% | 69.0% |
| To the legs | 34 / 37 | 91.9% | 78.7% | 124 / 129 | 96.1% | 78.7% |
Grappling
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Modafferi has more cage time on record.