Casey O'Neill vs.
Jennifer Maia
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Casey O'Neill
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 6 | 2 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 5 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.57 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 13 documented bouts
In the UFC: 2-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500
Jennifer Maia
Full career not yet synced for Jennifer Maia — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 4-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Casey O'Neill
Distance 87.0% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 3.2% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 9.8% (norm 4.9%)
Jennifer Maia
Distance 92.2% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 7.3% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 0.5% (norm 4.9%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Casey O'Neill
Head 85.4% (norm 78.1%) · Body 9.3% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 5.2% (norm 7.7%)
Jennifer Maia
Head 86.5% (norm 78.1%) · Body 7.8% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 5.7% (norm 7.7%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | O'Neill L/A | Acc | Women's Flyweight med | Maia L/A | Acc | Women's Flyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 550 / 1129 | 48.7% | 39.9% | 664 / 1864 | 35.6% | 39.9% |
| In the clinch | 31 / 41 | 75.6% | 73.3% | 111 / 147 | 75.5% | 73.3% |
| On the ground | 96 / 127 | 75.6% | 74.7% | 6 / 11 | too few to rate | 74.7% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 519 / 1108 | 46.8% | 34.9% | 565 / 1749 | 32.3% | 34.9% |
| To the body | 94 / 121 | 77.7% | 69.5% | 110 / 157 | 70.1% | 69.5% |
| To the legs | 64 / 68 | 94.1% | 82.6% | 106 / 116 | 91.4% | 82.6% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs O'Neill L/A | Opp acc | Women's Flyweight med | vs Maia L/A | Opp acc | Women's Flyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 383 / 1004 | 38.1% | 38.8% | 727 / 1727 | 42.1% | 38.8% |
| In the clinch | 63 / 80 | 78.8% | 74.1% | 52 / 70 | 74.3% | 74.1% |
| On the ground | 29 / 36 | 80.6% | 73.4% | 32 / 34 | 94.1% | 73.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 353 / 975 | 36.2% | 35.3% | 488 / 1428 | 34.2% | 35.3% |
| To the body | 88 / 108 | 81.5% | 69.0% | 189 / 249 | 75.9% | 69.0% |
| To the legs | 34 / 37 | 91.9% | 78.7% | 134 / 154 | 87.0% | 78.7% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Maia has more cage time on record.