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Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes

UFC 7-2-0 vs. 3-3-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
7-2-0
UFC record
3-3-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
29
AgeΔ 4 yrs
33
5'6"
HeightΔ 0"
5'6"
69"
ReachΔ 3"
66"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
1
Layoff (months)Δ 5.8 mo
6.8
WWWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Casey O'Neill is a submission threat — 0.84 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Women's Flyweight norm.
Gabriella Fernandes carries real power — 0.21 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.10 Women's Flyweight norm.
Casey O'Neill outworks the Women's Flyweight division — 7.60 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.93 norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Casey O'Neill

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 62
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.57 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 13 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500

Gabriella Fernandes

Full career not yet synced for Gabriella Fernandes — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6787.60/min · norm 3.93
Sig. strikes landed
2533.51/min · norm 3.93
4785.36/min · norm 3.84
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
3825.31/min · norm 3.84
52.1%norm 45.5%
Striking accuracy
46.6%norm 45.5%
57.6%norm 56.1%
Striking defense
53.1%norm 56.1%
10.17/15 · norm 0.10
Knockdowns
10.21/15 · norm 0.10

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Casey O'Neill

Distance 87.1% (norm 87.5%) · Clinch 3.2% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 9.8% (norm 4.5%)

Gabriella Fernandes

Distance 92.6% (norm 87.5%) · Clinch 7.2% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 0.2% (norm 4.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Casey O'Neill

Head 85.4% (norm 78.1%) · Body 9.3% (norm 14.5%) · Legs 5.3% (norm 7.6%)

Gabriella Fernandes

Head 80.5% (norm 78.1%) · Body 11.8% (norm 14.5%) · Legs 7.7% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone O'Neill L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Fernandes L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 551 / 1133 48.6% 40.3% 226 / 503 44.9% 40.3%
In the clinch 31 / 41 75.6% 73.9% 27 / 39 69.2% 73.9%
On the ground 96 / 127 75.6% 74.4% 0 / 1 too few to rate 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 519 / 1111 46.7% 36.0% 164 / 437 37.5% 36.0%
To the body 94 / 121 77.7% 69.5% 54 / 64 84.4% 69.5%
To the legs 65 / 69 94.2% 82.3% 35 / 42 83.3% 82.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 47 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 47 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs O'Neill L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Fernandes L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 384 / 1007 38.1% 39.0% 309 / 724 42.7% 39.0%
In the clinch 63 / 80 78.8% 73.8% 33 / 41 80.5% 73.8%
On the ground 31 / 40 77.5% 73.4% 40 / 49 81.6% 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 356 / 982 36.3% 35.0% 224 / 604 37.1% 35.0%
To the body 88 / 108 81.5% 69.0% 94 / 135 69.6% 69.0%
To the legs 34 / 37 91.9% 78.7% 64 / 75 85.3% 78.7%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
834.8% acc · 1.35/15 · norm 0.94
Takedowns landed
218.2% acc · 0.42/15 · norm 0.94
1470.0% def · norm 61.1%
Takedowns stopped
2069.0% def · norm 61.1%
21:3024.1% of cage time · norm 18.7%
Control time
3:224.7% of cage time · norm 18.7%
13:152:13 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control lower is better
24:405:08 per 15 · norm 3:00
50.84/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
10.21/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — O'Neill has more cage time on record.