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Casey O'Neill vs. Ariane da Silva

UFC 7-2-0 vs. 6-8-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
7-2-0
UFC record
6-8-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
29
AgeΔ 3 yrs
32
5'6"
HeightΔ 0"
5'6"
69"
ReachΔ 2"
67"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
1
Layoff (months)Δ 15.4 mo
16.4
WWWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Ariane da Silva carries real power — 0.28 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.10 Women's Flyweight norm.
Casey O'Neill is a submission threat — 0.84 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Women's Flyweight norm.
Casey O'Neill outworks the Women's Flyweight division — 7.60 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.93 norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Casey O'Neill

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 62
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.57 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 13 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500

Ariane da Silva

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 79
Tier 3 — regional circuit 113

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.57 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 30 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6787.60/min · norm 3.93
Sig. strikes landed
6504.05/min · norm 3.93
4785.36/min · norm 3.84
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
7054.40/min · norm 3.84
52.1%norm 45.5%
Striking accuracy
41.1%norm 45.5%
57.6%norm 56.1%
Striking defense
50.6%norm 56.1%
10.17/15 · norm 0.10
Knockdowns
30.28/15 · norm 0.10

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Casey O'Neill

Distance 87.1% (norm 87.5%) · Clinch 3.2% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 9.8% (norm 4.5%)

Ariane da Silva

Distance 88.2% (norm 87.5%) · Clinch 7.7% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 4.1% (norm 4.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Casey O'Neill

Head 85.4% (norm 78.1%) · Body 9.3% (norm 14.5%) · Legs 5.3% (norm 7.6%)

Ariane da Silva

Head 69.9% (norm 78.1%) · Body 22.5% (norm 14.5%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone O'Neill L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med da Silva L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 551 / 1133 48.6% 40.3% 514 / 1393 36.9% 40.3%
In the clinch 31 / 41 75.6% 73.9% 91 / 122 74.6% 73.9%
On the ground 96 / 127 75.6% 74.4% 45 / 65 69.2% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 519 / 1111 46.7% 36.0% 321 / 1104 29.1% 36.0%
To the body 94 / 121 77.7% 69.5% 251 / 356 70.5% 69.5%
To the legs 65 / 69 94.2% 82.3% 78 / 120 65.0% 82.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 47 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 47 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs O'Neill L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs da Silva L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 384 / 1007 38.1% 39.0% 524 / 1185 44.2% 39.0%
In the clinch 63 / 80 78.8% 73.8% 65 / 81 80.2% 73.8%
On the ground 31 / 40 77.5% 73.4% 116 / 160 72.5% 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 356 / 982 36.3% 35.0% 431 / 1056 40.8% 35.0%
To the body 88 / 108 81.5% 69.0% 130 / 196 66.3% 69.0%
To the legs 34 / 37 91.9% 78.7% 144 / 174 82.8% 78.7%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
834.8% acc · 1.35/15 · norm 0.94
Takedowns landed
538.5% acc · 0.47/15 · norm 0.94
1470.0% def · norm 61.1%
Takedowns stopped
3468.0% def · norm 61.1%
21:3024.1% of cage time · norm 18.7%
Control time
22:2013.9% of cage time · norm 18.7%
13:152:13 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control lower is better
43:124:02 per 15 · norm 3:00
50.84/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
30.28/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — da Silva has more cage time on record.