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Casey O'Neill vs. Antonina Shevchenko

UFC 7-2-0 vs. 4-4-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
7-2-0
UFC record
4-4-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
29
AgeΔ 12 yrs
41
5'6"
HeightΔ 2"
5'8"
69"
ReachΔ 2"
67"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
1
Layoff (months)Δ 50.4 mo
51.4
WWWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Casey O'Neill is a submission threat — 0.84 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Women's Flyweight norm.
Casey O'Neill outworks the Women's Flyweight division — 7.60 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.93 norm.
Antonina Shevchenko rarely shoots — 0.47 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.94 Women's Flyweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Casey O'Neill

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 62
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.57 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 13 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500

Antonina Shevchenko

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 54
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.06 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 4 finish wins over 14 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6787.60/min · norm 3.93
Sig. strikes landed
3283.43/min · norm 3.93
4785.36/min · norm 3.84
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
2903.04/min · norm 3.84
52.1%norm 45.5%
Striking accuracy
53.3%norm 45.5%
57.6%norm 56.1%
Striking defense
52.8%norm 56.1%
10.17/15 · norm 0.10
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.10

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Casey O'Neill

Distance 87.1% (norm 87.5%) · Clinch 3.2% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 9.8% (norm 4.5%)

Antonina Shevchenko

Distance 76.4% (norm 87.5%) · Clinch 13.0% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 10.6% (norm 4.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Casey O'Neill

Head 85.4% (norm 78.1%) · Body 9.3% (norm 14.5%) · Legs 5.3% (norm 7.6%)

Antonina Shevchenko

Head 75.8% (norm 78.1%) · Body 17.6% (norm 14.5%) · Legs 6.7% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone O'Neill L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Shevchenko L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 551 / 1133 48.6% 40.3% 218 / 470 46.4% 40.3%
In the clinch 31 / 41 75.6% 73.9% 65 / 80 81.2% 73.9%
On the ground 96 / 127 75.6% 74.4% 45 / 65 69.2% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 519 / 1111 46.7% 36.0% 211 / 466 45.3% 36.0%
To the body 94 / 121 77.7% 69.5% 80 / 108 74.1% 69.5%
To the legs 65 / 69 94.2% 82.3% 37 / 41 90.2% 82.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 47 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 47 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs O'Neill L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Shevchenko L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 384 / 1007 38.1% 39.0% 139 / 425 32.7% 39.0%
In the clinch 63 / 80 78.8% 73.8% 32 / 42 76.2% 73.8%
On the ground 31 / 40 77.5% 73.4% 119 / 148 80.4% 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 356 / 982 36.3% 35.0% 207 / 490 42.2% 35.0%
To the body 88 / 108 81.5% 69.0% 45 / 67 67.2% 69.0%
To the legs 34 / 37 91.9% 78.7% 38 / 58 65.5% 78.7%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
834.8% acc · 1.35/15 · norm 0.94
Takedowns landed
342.9% acc · 0.47/15 · norm 0.94
1470.0% def · norm 61.1%
Takedowns stopped
1648.5% def · norm 61.1%
21:3024.1% of cage time · norm 18.7%
Control time
22:1923.4% of cage time · norm 18.7%
13:152:13 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control lower is better
34:585:29 per 15 · norm 3:00
50.84/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
30.47/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — O'Neill has more cage time on record.