BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Carlston Harris vs.
Santiago Ponzinibbio

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-4-0 Carlston Harris · UFC
12-9-0 Santiago Ponzinibbio · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-4-0
UFC record
12-9-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
39.1
AgeΔ 0.8 yrs
39.9
6'0"
HeightΔ 0"
6'0"
76"
ReachΔ 3"
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
2.2
Layoff (months)Δ 1.8 mo
0.4
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Santiago Ponzinibbio carries real power — 0.70 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Santiago Ponzinibbio absorbs 4.79 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.06 Welterweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Carlston Harris

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 44
Tier 3 — regional circuit 154

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.72 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.4 wins over .500

Santiago Ponzinibbio

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 129
Tier 3 — regional circuit 161

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.12 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 21 finish wins over 38 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2213.34/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
10974.67/min · norm 3.17
2323.50/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
11244.79/min · norm 3.06
42.8%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
40.8%norm 44.9%
51.9%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
61.1%norm 55.25%
20.45/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
110.70/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Carlston Harris

Distance 90.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 3.3% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 6.4% (norm 8.1%)

Santiago Ponzinibbio

Distance 96.6% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 1.4% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 2.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Carlston Harris

Head 76.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.2% (norm 8.4%)

Santiago Ponzinibbio

Head 83.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.9% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 7.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Harris L/AAccWelterweight med Ponzinibbio L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 181 / 466 38.8% 38.6% 1043 / 2599 40.1% 38.6%
In the clinch 13 / 17 too few to rate 67.8% 20 / 37 54.1% 67.8%
On the ground 27 / 33 81.8% 67.2% 34 / 55 61.8% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 137 / 396 34.6% 37.2% 775 / 2243 34.6% 37.2%
To the body 57 / 88 64.8% 70.7% 137 / 240 57.1% 70.7%
To the legs 27 / 32 84.4% 82.9% 185 / 208 88.9% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Harris L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Ponzinibbio L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 194 / 423 45.9% 39.0% 1043 / 2764 37.7% 39.0%
In the clinch 12 / 13 too few to rate 68.9% 22 / 38 57.9% 68.9%
On the ground 26 / 46 56.5% 68.0% 59 / 89 66.3% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 162 / 396 40.9% 35.6% 669 / 2248 29.8% 35.6%
To the body 46 / 57 80.7% 69.6% 232 / 378 61.4% 69.6%
To the legs 24 / 29 82.8% 82.1% 223 / 265 84.2% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

520.0% acc · 1.13/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
926.5% acc · 0.58/15 · norm 1.27
555.6% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2771.1% def · norm 63.9%
12:3218.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
11:374.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
21:014:45 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
11:060:42 per 15 · norm 3:15
20.45/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Ponzinibbio has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.