BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Carlston Harris vs.
Christian Aguilera

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-4-0 Carlston Harris · UFC
1-2-0 Christian Aguilera · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-4-0
UFC record
1-2-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
39.1
AgeΔ 4.4 yrs
34.7
6'0"
HeightΔ 3"
5'9"
76"
ReachΔ 4"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
2.2
Layoff (months)Δ 60.7 mo
62.9
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Christian Aguilera rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Christian Aguilera absorbs 4.04 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.06 Welterweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Carlston Harris

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 44
Tier 3 — regional circuit 154

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.72 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.4 wins over .500

Christian Aguilera

Full career not yet synced for Christian Aguilera — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2213.34/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
272.54/min · norm 3.17
2323.50/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
434.04/min · norm 3.06
42.8%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
37.5%norm 44.9%
51.9%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
48.8%norm 55.25%
20.45/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Carlston Harris

Distance 90.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 3.3% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 6.4% (norm 8.1%)

Christian Aguilera

Distance 100.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 0.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Carlston Harris

Head 76.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.2% (norm 8.4%)

Christian Aguilera

Head 80.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 5.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 13.9% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Harris L/AAccWelterweight med Aguilera L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 181 / 466 38.8% 38.6% 27 / 72 37.5% 38.6%
In the clinch 13 / 17 too few to rate 67.8% 0 / 0 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 27 / 33 81.8% 67.2% 0 / 0 too few to rate 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 137 / 396 34.6% 37.2% 16 / 58 27.6% 37.2%
To the body 57 / 88 64.8% 70.7% 3 / 4 too few to rate 70.7%
To the legs 27 / 32 84.4% 82.9% 8 / 10 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Harris L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Aguilera L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 194 / 423 45.9% 39.0% 37 / 78 47.4% 39.0%
In the clinch 12 / 13 too few to rate 68.9% 0 / 0 too few to rate 68.9%
On the ground 26 / 46 56.5% 68.0% 6 / 6 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 162 / 396 40.9% 35.6% 19 / 57 33.3% 35.6%
To the body 46 / 57 80.7% 69.6% 2 / 5 too few to rate 69.6%
To the legs 24 / 29 82.8% 82.1% 22 / 22 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

520.0% acc · 1.13/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.27
555.6% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
360.0% def · norm 63.9%
12:3218.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
0:325.0% of cage time · norm 18.5%
21:014:45 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
3:004:13 per 15 · norm 3:15
20.45/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Harris has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.