BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Carlos Prates vs.
Ian Machado Garry

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

7-1-0 Carlos Prates · UFC
10-1-0 Ian Machado Garry · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

7-1-0
UFC record
10-1-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
33
AgeΔ 4.3 yrs
28.7
6'1"
HeightΔ 2"
6'3"
78"
ReachΔ 4"
74"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
3.2
Layoff (months)Δ 5.2 mo
8.4
WWWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Carlos Prates carries real power — 2.32 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Carlos Prates rarely shoots — 0.19 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Ian Machado Garry outworks the Welterweight division — 4.78 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.17 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Carlos Prates

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 102
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 125

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.22 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +6.0 wins over .500

Ian Machado Garry

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 101
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 2.11 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3394.38/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
7754.78/min · norm 3.17
3374.35/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
4642.86/min · norm 3.06
54.1%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
54.1%norm 44.9%
47.7%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
52.9%norm 55.25%
122.32/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
40.37/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Carlos Prates

Distance 93.1% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 1.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 5.9% (norm 8.1%)

Ian Machado Garry

Distance 92.7% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 3.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 3.3% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Carlos Prates

Head 72.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 14.2% (norm 8.4%)

Ian Machado Garry

Head 71.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 14.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 14.8% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Prates L/AAccWelterweight med Garry L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 307 / 584 52.6% 38.6% 704 / 1329 53.0% 38.6%
In the clinch 3 / 6 too few to rate 67.8% 38 / 56 67.9% 67.8%
On the ground 29 / 37 78.4% 67.2% 33 / 48 68.8% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 203 / 452 44.9% 37.2% 437 / 1020 42.8% 37.2%
To the body 61 / 86 70.9% 70.7% 148 / 201 73.6% 70.7%
To the legs 75 / 89 84.3% 82.9% 190 / 212 89.6% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Prates L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Garry L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 325 / 624 52.1% 39.0% 403 / 896 45.0% 39.0%
In the clinch 8 / 15 too few to rate 68.9% 34 / 52 65.4% 68.9%
On the ground 4 / 5 too few to rate 68.0% 27 / 37 73.0% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 182 / 434 41.9% 35.6% 246 / 700 35.1% 35.6%
To the body 40 / 67 59.7% 69.6% 96 / 134 71.6% 69.6%
To the legs 115 / 143 80.4% 82.1% 122 / 151 80.8% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1100.0% acc · 0.19/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
1031.3% acc · 0.92/15 · norm 1.27
3179.5% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2480.0% def · norm 63.9%
3:474.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
18:5011.6% of cage time · norm 18.5%
11:222:12 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
30:292:49 per 15 · norm 3:15
00.00/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
40.37/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Garry has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.