Carlos Prates vs.
Geoff Neal
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Carlos Prates
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 10 | 2 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 2 | 0 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 12 | 5 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.22 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 31 documented bouts
In the UFC: 7-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +6.0 wins over .500
Geoff Neal
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 9 | 6 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 3 | 0 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 4 | 2 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.07 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 24 documented bouts
In the UFC: 6-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.3 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Carlos Prates
Distance 93.1% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 1.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 5.9% (norm 8.1%)
Geoff Neal
Distance 86.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 8.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 5.1% (norm 8.1%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Carlos Prates
Head 72.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 14.2% (norm 8.4%)
Geoff Neal
Head 90.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 6.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.5% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Prates L/A | Acc | Welterweight med | Neal L/A | Acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 307 / 584 | 52.6% | 38.6% | 566 / 1177 | 48.1% | 38.6% |
| In the clinch | 3 / 6 | too few to rate | 67.8% | 72 / 108 | 66.7% | 67.8% |
| On the ground | 29 / 37 | 78.4% | 67.2% | 49 / 69 | 71.0% | 67.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 203 / 452 | 44.9% | 37.2% | 585 / 1225 | 47.8% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 61 / 86 | 70.9% | 70.7% | 58 / 82 | 70.7% | 70.7% |
| To the legs | 75 / 89 | 84.3% | 82.9% | 44 / 47 | 93.6% | 82.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Prates L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med | vs Neal L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 325 / 624 | 52.1% | 39.0% | 684 / 1658 | 41.3% | 39.0% |
| In the clinch | 8 / 15 | too few to rate | 68.9% | 73 / 104 | 70.2% | 68.9% |
| On the ground | 4 / 5 | too few to rate | 68.0% | 7 / 13 | too few to rate | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 182 / 434 | 41.9% | 35.6% | 477 / 1409 | 33.9% | 35.6% |
| To the body | 40 / 67 | 59.7% | 69.6% | 208 / 280 | 74.3% | 69.6% |
| To the legs | 115 / 143 | 80.4% | 82.1% | 79 / 86 | 91.9% | 82.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Neal has more cage time on record.