BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Carlos Leal vs.
Alex Morono

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-2-0 Carlos Leal · UFC
13-10-0 (1 NC) Alex Morono · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-2-0
UFC record
13-10-0 (1 NC)
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
32
AgeΔ 3 yrs
35
5'11"
HeightΔ 0"
5'11"
74"
ReachΔ 2"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5.5
Layoff (months)Δ 0.4 mo
5.9
WLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Carlos Leal outworks the Welterweight division — 8.75 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.17 norm.
Carlos Leal absorbs 7.78 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.06 Welterweight norm — hittable.
Alex Morono rarely shoots — 0.32 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Carlos Leal

Full career not yet synced for Carlos Leal — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.5 wins over .500

Alex Morono

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1310
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 72
Tier 3 — regional circuit 41

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.01 · 20 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 38 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3068.75/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
13964.90/min · norm 3.17
2727.78/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
13894.88/min · norm 3.06
47.0%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
39.8%norm 44.9%
48.8%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
55.4%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
50.26/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Carlos Leal

Distance 92.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 7.7% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 8.1%)

Alex Morono

Distance 92.4% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 4.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 2.7% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Carlos Leal

Head 81.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.9% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.5% (norm 8.4%)

Alex Morono

Head 88.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.4% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Leal L/AAccWelterweight med Morono L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 265 / 601 44.1% 38.6% 1239 / 3242 38.2% 38.6%
In the clinch 41 / 50 82.0% 67.8% 101 / 172 58.7% 67.8%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 67.2% 56 / 96 58.3% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 197 / 531 37.1% 37.2% 1114 / 3098 36.0% 37.2%
To the body 73 / 84 86.9% 70.7% 185 / 292 63.4% 70.7%
To the legs 36 / 36 100.0% 82.9% 97 / 120 80.8% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Leal L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Morono L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 239 / 480 49.8% 39.0% 1196 / 2808 42.6% 39.0%
In the clinch 32 / 49 65.3% 68.9% 110 / 180 61.1% 68.9%
On the ground 1 / 2 too few to rate 68.0% 83 / 125 66.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 160 / 380 42.1% 35.6% 691 / 2126 32.5% 35.6%
To the body 59 / 96 61.5% 69.6% 492 / 718 68.5% 69.6%
To the legs 53 / 55 96.4% 82.1% 206 / 269 76.6% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

111.1% acc · 0.43/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
624.0% acc · 0.32/15 · norm 1.27
2090.9% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2247.8% def · norm 63.9%
2:367.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
15:595.6% of cage time · norm 18.5%
3:401:34 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
37:451:59 per 15 · norm 3:15
00.00/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
60.32/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Morono has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.