BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Carli Judice vs.
Nicolle Caliari

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-1-0 Carli Judice · UFC
1-2-0 Nicolle Caliari · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-1-0
UFC record
1-2-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
27.4
AgeΔ 2.4 yrs
29.8
5'7"
HeightΔ 4"
5'3"
68"
ReachΔ 6"
62"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5.5
Layoff (months)Δ 2.8 mo
2.7
WWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Carli Judice carries real power — 0.69 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.09 Women's Flyweight norm.
Nicolle Caliari hunts takedowns — 3.03 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Carli Judice outworks the Women's Flyweight division — 8.66 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.91 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Carli Judice

Full career not yet synced for Carli Judice — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.8 wins over .500

Nicolle Caliari

Full career not yet synced for Nicolle Caliari — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3748.66/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
1193.00/min · norm 3.91
2014.66/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
2335.88/min · norm 3.81
48.2%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
39.0%norm 44.9%
59.6%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
53.4%norm 55.95%
20.69/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.09

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Carli Judice

Distance 93.7% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 5.4% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 0.9% (norm 4.9%)

Nicolle Caliari

Distance 91.8% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 3.3% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 4.9% (norm 4.9%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Carli Judice

Head 80.0% (norm 78.1%) · Body 16.8% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 3.2% (norm 7.7%)

Nicolle Caliari

Head 78.7% (norm 78.1%) · Body 16.4% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 4.9% (norm 7.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Judice L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Caliari L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 335 / 727 46.1% 39.9% 101 / 280 36.1% 39.9%
In the clinch 33 / 42 78.6% 73.3% 7 / 10 too few to rate 73.3%
On the ground 6 / 7 too few to rate 74.7% 11 / 15 too few to rate 74.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 260 / 621 41.9% 34.9% 80 / 240 33.3% 34.9%
To the body 91 / 130 70.0% 69.5% 27 / 50 54.0% 69.5%
To the legs 23 / 25 92.0% 82.6% 12 / 15 too few to rate 82.6%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Judice L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Caliari L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 168 / 448 37.5% 38.8% 202 / 461 43.8% 38.8%
In the clinch 33 / 50 66.0% 74.1% 19 / 27 70.4% 74.1%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 73.4% 12 / 12 too few to rate 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 147 / 415 35.4% 35.3% 178 / 423 42.1% 35.3%
To the body 35 / 57 61.4% 69.0% 51 / 69 73.9% 69.0%
To the legs 19 / 26 73.1% 78.7% 4 / 8 too few to rate 78.7%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

250.0% acc · 0.69/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
825.8% acc · 3.03/15 · norm 1.02
2482.8% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
1100.0% def · norm 58.95%
3:318.1% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
13:5235.0% of cage time · norm 19.15%
7:182:32 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
4:411:46 per 15 · norm 3:03
00.00/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
10.38/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Judice has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.