Bill Algeo vs.
Spike Carlyle
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Bill Algeo
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 5 | 6 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 13 | 3 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.68 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 27 documented bouts
In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500
Spike Carlyle
Full career not yet synced for Spike Carlyle — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Bill Algeo
Distance 87.2% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 6.8% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 6.0% (norm 6.5%)
Spike Carlyle
Distance 45.3% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 8.1% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 46.6% (norm 6.5%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Bill Algeo
Head 68.6% (norm 77.4%) · Body 18.9% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 12.5% (norm 7.8%)
Spike Carlyle
Head 85.8% (norm 77.4%) · Body 7.4% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 6.8% (norm 7.8%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Algeo L/A | Acc | Featherweight med | Carlyle L/A | Acc | Featherweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 498 / 1062 | 46.9% | 40.9% | 33 / 67 | 49.3% | 40.9% |
| In the clinch | 63 / 83 | 75.9% | 70.8% | 9 / 12 | too few to rate | 70.8% |
| On the ground | 63 / 73 | 86.3% | 69.2% | 38 / 69 | 55.1% | 69.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 351 / 836 | 42.0% | 37.2% | 67 / 127 | 52.8% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 151 / 230 | 65.7% | 68.2% | 5 / 11 | too few to rate | 68.2% |
| To the legs | 122 / 152 | 80.3% | 80.7% | 8 / 10 | too few to rate | 80.7% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Algeo L/A | Opp acc | Featherweight med | vs Carlyle L/A | Opp acc | Featherweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 378 / 797 | 47.4% | 39.2% | 56 / 98 | 57.1% | 39.2% |
| In the clinch | 47 / 64 | 73.4% | 70.3% | 19 / 20 | too few to rate | 70.3% |
| On the ground | 38 / 49 | 77.6% | 69.4% | 46 / 55 | 83.6% | 69.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 280 / 662 | 42.3% | 35.9% | 88 / 126 | 69.8% | 35.9% |
| To the body | 116 / 162 | 71.6% | 67.9% | 24 / 33 | 72.7% | 67.9% |
| To the legs | 67 / 86 | 77.9% | 81.5% | 9 / 14 | too few to rate | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Algeo has more cage time on record.