BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Bia Mesquita vs.
Melissa Mullins

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-0-0 Bia Mesquita · UFC
2-3-0 Melissa Mullins · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-0-0
UFC record
2-3-0
Women's Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Bantamweight
35.3
AgeΔ 0.3 yrs
35
Height
5'7"
Reach
68"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
1.5
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
1.5
WWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Bia Mesquita is a submission threat — 3.57 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.34 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Bia Mesquita hunts takedowns — 3.57 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.91 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Melissa Mullins hunts takedowns — 2.20 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.91 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Bia Mesquita

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 30
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 40
Tier 3 — regional circuit 10

Tier-weighted record quality: 2.34 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 8 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Melissa Mullins

Full career not yet synced for Melissa Mullins — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

574.52/min · norm 3.56
Sig. strikes landed
1753.67/min · norm 3.56
161.27/min · norm 3.51
Sig. strikes absorbed
1984.15/min · norm 3.51
57.0%norm 46.65%
Striking accuracy
49.7%norm 46.65%
71.4%norm 52.45%
Striking defense
53.3%norm 52.45%
00.00/15 · norm 0.08
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.08

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Bia Mesquita

Distance 27.0% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 1.0% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 72.0% (norm 7.5%)

Melissa Mullins

Distance 80.4% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 2.6% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 17.0% (norm 7.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Bia Mesquita

Head 94.0% (norm 75.2%) · Body 3.0% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 3.0% (norm 8.8%)

Melissa Mullins

Head 89.5% (norm 75.2%) · Body 7.4% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 3.1% (norm 8.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Mesquita L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med Mullins L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 11 / 27 40.7% 38.3% 129 / 283 45.6% 38.3%
In the clinch 0 / 1 too few to rate 73.3% 8 / 9 too few to rate 73.3%
On the ground 46 / 72 63.9% 70.8% 38 / 60 63.3% 70.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 53 / 94 56.4% 37.7% 143 / 315 45.4% 37.7%
To the body 2 / 3 too few to rate 70.0% 22 / 26 84.6% 70.0%
To the legs 2 / 3 too few to rate 80.9% 10 / 11 too few to rate 80.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters · Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Mesquita L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med vs Mullins L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 14 / 53 26.4% 41.3% 176 / 390 45.1% 41.3%
In the clinch 2 / 2 too few to rate 74.7% 18 / 27 66.7% 74.7%
On the ground 0 / 1 too few to rate 74.2% 4 / 7 too few to rate 74.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 11 / 41 26.8% 38.1% 114 / 302 37.7% 38.1%
To the body 2 / 6 too few to rate 73.2% 49 / 79 62.0% 73.2%
To the legs 3 / 9 too few to rate 80.9% 35 / 43 81.4% 80.9%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

375.0% acc · 3.57/15 · norm 0.91
Takedowns landed
746.7% acc · 2.20/15 · norm 0.91
00.0% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
685.7% def · norm 62.5%
6:5154.3% of cage time · norm 26.55%
Control time
20:4343.4% of cage time · norm 26.55%
1:271:43 per 15 · norm 3:19
Time under control
2:360:49 per 15 · norm 3:19
33.57/15 · norm 0.34
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.34

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Mullins has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.