BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Asu Almabayev vs.
Manel Kape

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

7-1-0 Asu Almabayev · UFC
8-3-0 Manel Kape · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

7-1-0
UFC record
8-3-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
32.5
AgeΔ 0.2 yrs
32.7
5'4"
HeightΔ 1"
5'5"
65"
ReachΔ 3"
68"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
1.3
Layoff (months)Δ 0.2 mo
1.5
WWWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Manel Kape carries real power — 0.97 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.18 Flyweight norm.
Asu Almabayev hunts takedowns — 4.74 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Asu Almabayev owns the mat — in control 49% of cage time, vs a 17% Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Asu Almabayev

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 71
Tier 3 — regional circuit 172

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.32 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Manel Kape

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 146
Tier 3 — regional circuit 91

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.51 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 20 finish wins over 30 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2382.28/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
5804.68/min · norm 3.49
2021.94/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
4813.88/min · norm 3.24
51.4%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
55.1%norm 44.6%
53.8%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
57.0%norm 56.4%
10.14/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
80.97/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Asu Almabayev

Distance 73.2% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 7.3% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 19.4% (norm 7.3%)

Manel Kape

Distance 90.7% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 3.2% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 6.1% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Asu Almabayev

Head 71.3% (norm 75.9%) · Body 16.4% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 12.3% (norm 9.3%)

Manel Kape

Head 77.4% (norm 75.9%) · Body 13.5% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 9.1% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Almabayev L/AAccFlyweight med Kape L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 154 / 339 45.4% 40.0% 515 / 955 53.9% 40.0%
In the clinch 24 / 34 70.6% 70.4% 23 / 34 67.6% 70.4%
On the ground 60 / 90 66.7% 69.7% 42 / 64 65.6% 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 128 / 330 38.8% 37.6% 387 / 815 47.5% 37.6%
To the body 58 / 76 76.3% 68.5% 108 / 142 76.1% 68.5%
To the legs 52 / 57 91.2% 80.0% 85 / 96 88.5% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Almabayev L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Kape L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 154 / 371 41.5% 40.1% 453 / 1074 42.2% 40.1%
In the clinch 29 / 44 65.9% 68.8% 14 / 22 too few to rate 68.8%
On the ground 19 / 22 too few to rate 71.1% 14 / 23 too few to rate 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 102 / 280 36.4% 35.2% 235 / 739 31.8% 35.2%
To the body 67 / 104 64.4% 68.2% 150 / 236 63.6% 68.2%
To the legs 33 / 53 62.3% 80.3% 96 / 144 66.7% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3345.8% acc · 4.74/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
330.0% acc · 0.36/15 · norm 1.30
444.4% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
3378.6% def · norm 62.5%
51:0348.9% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
3:382.9% of cage time · norm 17.0%
5:210:46 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
11:561:26 per 15 · norm 2:44
101.44/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
20.24/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Kape has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.