BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Asu Almabayev vs.
Jose Johnson

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

7-1-0 Asu Almabayev · UFC
1-3-0 Jose Johnson · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

7-1-0
UFC record
1-3-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
32.5
AgeΔ 1.3 yrs
31.2
5'4"
HeightΔ 8"
6'0"
65"
ReachΔ 6"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
1.3
Layoff (months)Δ 17.5 mo
18.8
WWWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Asu Almabayev hunts takedowns — 4.74 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Asu Almabayev owns the mat — in control 49% of cage time, vs a 17% Flyweight norm.
Jose Johnson is a submission threat — 0.84 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.58 Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Asu Almabayev

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 71
Tier 3 — regional circuit 172

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.32 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Jose Johnson

Full career not yet synced for Jose Johnson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2382.28/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
842.36/min · norm 3.49
2021.94/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
661.85/min · norm 3.24
51.4%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
54.2%norm 44.6%
53.8%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
51.8%norm 56.4%
10.14/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Asu Almabayev

Distance 73.2% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 7.3% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 19.4% (norm 7.3%)

Jose Johnson

Distance 58.7% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 14.8% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 26.5% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Asu Almabayev

Head 71.3% (norm 75.9%) · Body 16.4% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 12.3% (norm 9.3%)

Jose Johnson

Head 70.3% (norm 75.9%) · Body 18.7% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 11.0% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Almabayev L/AAccFlyweight med Johnson L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 154 / 339 45.4% 40.0% 43 / 91 47.3% 40.0%
In the clinch 24 / 34 70.6% 70.4% 11 / 23 too few to rate 70.4%
On the ground 60 / 90 66.7% 69.7% 30 / 41 73.2% 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 128 / 330 38.8% 37.6% 52 / 109 47.7% 37.6%
To the body 58 / 76 76.3% 68.5% 21 / 29 72.4% 68.5%
To the legs 52 / 57 91.2% 80.0% 11 / 17 too few to rate 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Almabayev L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Johnson L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 154 / 371 41.5% 40.1% 30 / 84 35.7% 40.1%
In the clinch 29 / 44 65.9% 68.8% 15 / 19 too few to rate 68.8%
On the ground 19 / 22 too few to rate 71.1% 21 / 34 61.8% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 102 / 280 36.4% 35.2% 35 / 91 38.5% 35.2%
To the body 67 / 104 64.4% 68.2% 11 / 21 too few to rate 68.2%
To the legs 33 / 53 62.3% 80.3% 20 / 25 80.0% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3345.8% acc · 4.74/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
266.7% acc · 0.84/15 · norm 1.30
444.4% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
1352.0% def · norm 62.5%
51:0348.9% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
6:1117.3% of cage time · norm 17.0%
5:210:46 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
20:508:45 per 15 · norm 2:44
101.44/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
20.84/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Almabayev has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.