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Arman Tsarukyan vs. Joel Alvarez

UFC 11-2-0 vs. 8-4-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
11-2-0
UFC record
8-4-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
30
AgeΔ 3 yrs
33
5'7"
HeightΔ 8"
6'3"
72"
ReachΔ 5"
77"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
1
Layoff (months)Δ 1.2 mo
2.2
WWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Arman Tsarukyan hunts takedowns — 3.25 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.
Arman Tsarukyan owns the mat — in control 43% of cage time, vs a 19% Lightweight norm.
Joel Alvarez rarely shoots — 0.15 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Arman Tsarukyan

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 102
Tier 3 — regional circuit 131

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.54 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 26 documented bouts

In the UFC: 11-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.4 wins over .500

Joel Alvarez

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 83
Tier 3 — regional circuit 151

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.46 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5753.78/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
4584.59/min · norm 3.44
2691.77/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
4124.13/min · norm 3.38
49.9%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
52.8%norm 43.65%
54.9%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
47.6%norm 56.3%
40.39/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.15/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Arman Tsarukyan

Distance 75.3% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 5.6% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 19.1% (norm 8.0%)

Joel Alvarez

Distance 85.0% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 6.6% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 8.4% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Arman Tsarukyan

Head 78.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 14.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.1% (norm 8.0%)

Joel Alvarez

Head 78.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 14.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.8% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Tsarukyan L/AAccLightweight med Alvarez L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 352 / 868 40.6% 38.3% 358 / 738 48.5% 38.3%
In the clinch 47 / 64 73.4% 67.5% 46 / 57 80.7% 67.5%
On the ground 176 / 220 80.0% 68.8% 54 / 73 74.0% 68.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 383 / 902 42.5% 35.1% 302 / 677 44.6% 35.1%
To the body 124 / 168 73.8% 69.1% 95 / 123 77.2% 69.1%
To the legs 68 / 82 82.9% 81.8% 61 / 68 89.7% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Lightweight: 204 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Tsarukyan L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Alvarez L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 194 / 500 38.8% 38.8% 362 / 718 50.4% 38.8%
In the clinch 53 / 66 80.3% 68.6% 11 / 15 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 22 / 31 71.0% 68.0% 39 / 53 73.6% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 168 / 449 37.4% 35.2% 180 / 466 38.6% 35.2%
To the body 78 / 116 67.2% 68.2% 118 / 183 64.5% 68.2%
To the legs 23 / 32 71.9% 81.5% 114 / 137 83.2% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
3334.7% acc · 3.25/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
133.3% acc · 0.15/15 · norm 1.34
3075.0% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
1448.3% def · norm 63.7%
65:1942.9% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
9:369.6% of cage time · norm 18.95%
16:091:35 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
21:193:12 per 15 · norm 2:50
10.10/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
60.90/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Tsarukyan has more cage time on record.