BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Ariane Carnelossi vs.
Talita Alencar

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-4-0 Ariane Carnelossi · UFC
4-1-0 Talita Alencar · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-4-0
UFC record
4-1-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
33.7
AgeΔ 2.1 yrs
35.8
5'2"
HeightΔ 1"
5'1"
61"
ReachΔ 3"
58"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
2
Layoff (months)Δ 1.4 mo
3.4
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Talita Alencar hunts takedowns — 2.82 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Talita Alencar is a submission threat — 0.60 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Ariane Carnelossi's takedown defense leaks — 23% stopped, vs a 64% Women's Strawweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Ariane Carnelossi

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 34
Tier 3 — regional circuit 111

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.85 · 3 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 19 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500

Talita Alencar

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 41
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 30

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.49 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 4 finish wins over 10 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1902.68/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
2423.24/min · norm 3.77
3324.69/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
2423.24/min · norm 3.94
38.6%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
35.7%norm 44.5%
43.6%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
54.0%norm 54.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Ariane Carnelossi

Distance 84.3% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 12.0% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 3.7% (norm 5.0%)

Talita Alencar

Distance 83.5% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 5.6% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 10.9% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Ariane Carnelossi

Head 81.5% (norm 76.4%) · Body 9.3% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 9.1% (norm 9.1%)

Talita Alencar

Head 75.2% (norm 76.4%) · Body 19.3% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 5.5% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Carnelossi L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Alencar L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 145 / 415 34.9% 38.3% 155 / 566 27.4% 38.3%
In the clinch 30 / 59 50.8% 72.6% 29 / 38 76.3% 72.6%
On the ground 15 / 18 too few to rate 75.0% 58 / 74 78.4% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 126 / 401 31.4% 35.4% 148 / 510 29.0% 35.4%
To the body 26 / 46 56.5% 69.3% 70 / 131 53.4% 69.3%
To the legs 38 / 45 84.4% 77.9% 24 / 37 64.9% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Carnelossi L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Alencar L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 197 / 425 46.4% 39.7% 217 / 491 44.2% 39.7%
In the clinch 83 / 102 81.4% 71.5% 22 / 32 68.8% 71.5%
On the ground 52 / 62 83.9% 74.4% 3 / 3 too few to rate 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 225 / 450 50.0% 36.0% 157 / 409 38.4% 36.0%
To the body 89 / 117 76.1% 68.4% 41 / 61 67.2% 68.4%
To the legs 18 / 22 too few to rate 79.1% 44 / 56 78.6% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

550.0% acc · 1.06/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
1437.8% acc · 2.82/15 · norm 1.10
522.7% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
2100.0% def · norm 64.1%
12:3717.8% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
24:3733.0% of cage time · norm 19.4%
27:195:47 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
3:490:46 per 15 · norm 3:00
10.21/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
30.60/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Carnelossi has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.