BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Andrew Holbrook vs.
Thibault Gouti

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-3-0 Andrew Holbrook · UFC
1-5-0 Thibault Gouti · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-3-0
UFC record
1-5-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
40.5
AgeΔ 1.1 yrs
39.4
5'11"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
70"
ReachΔ 2"
72"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
107.1
Layoff (months)Δ 13.8 mo
93.3
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Andrew Holbrook is a submission threat — 2.12 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Andrew Holbrook's takedown defense leaks — 10% stopped, vs a 64% Lightweight norm.
Thibault Gouti absorbs 5.64 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.37 Lightweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Andrew Holbrook

Full career not yet synced for Andrew Holbrook — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.4 wins over .500

Thibault Gouti

Full career not yet synced for Thibault Gouti — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

782.20/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
1803.68/min · norm 3.42
1063.00/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
2765.64/min · norm 3.37
49.4%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
34.5%norm 43.5%
54.1%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
50.3%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.31/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Andrew Holbrook

Distance 65.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 24.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 9.5% (norm 8.0%)

Thibault Gouti

Distance 89.3% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.4% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Andrew Holbrook

Head 72.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 20.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.3% (norm 7.9%)

Thibault Gouti

Head 87.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.2% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Holbrook L/AAccLightweight med Gouti L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 38 / 104 36.5% 37.9% 145 / 466 31.1% 37.9%
In the clinch 27 / 39 69.2% 67.3% 17 / 33 51.5% 67.3%
On the ground 13 / 15 too few to rate 69.1% 18 / 23 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 47 / 115 40.9% 35.0% 140 / 455 30.8% 35.0%
To the body 23 / 33 69.7% 69.1% 22 / 40 55.0% 69.1%
To the legs 8 / 10 too few to rate 81.9% 18 / 27 66.7% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Holbrook L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Gouti L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 54 / 138 39.1% 38.9% 178 / 405 44.0% 38.9%
In the clinch 30 / 55 54.5% 68.6% 30 / 47 63.8% 68.6%
On the ground 22 / 38 57.9% 68.0% 68 / 103 66.0% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 88 / 202 43.6% 35.1% 202 / 455 44.4% 35.1%
To the body 14 / 23 too few to rate 68.1% 48 / 70 68.6% 68.1%
To the legs 4 / 6 too few to rate 81.5% 26 / 30 86.7% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

218.2% acc · 0.85/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
480.0% acc · 1.23/15 · norm 1.38
110.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
2083.3% def · norm 64.0%
6:1717.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
7:0814.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
14:346:10 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
13:044:00 per 15 · norm 2:46
52.12/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
10.31/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Gouti has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.