BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Allan Nascimento vs.
Cody Durden

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-2-0 Allan Nascimento · UFC
7-9-1 Cody Durden · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-2-0
UFC record
7-9-1
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
34
AgeΔ 1 yrs
35
5'8"
HeightΔ 1"
5'7"
69"
ReachΔ 2"
67"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
1.5
Layoff (months)Δ 0.6 mo
0.9
LWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Cody Durden hunts takedowns — 3.82 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Cody Durden owns the mat — in control 36% of cage time, vs a 17% Flyweight norm.
Allan Nascimento owns the mat — in control 33% of cage time, vs a 17% Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Allan Nascimento

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 44
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 11
Tier 3 — regional circuit 172

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.03 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 17 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Cody Durden

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 79
Tier 3 — regional circuit 112

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.6 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 30 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1722.41/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
5523.27/min · norm 3.49
1381.93/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
6583.89/min · norm 3.24
45.1%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
44.4%norm 44.6%
57.3%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
51.0%norm 56.4%
10.21/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
10.09/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Allan Nascimento

Distance 83.7% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 4.5% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 11.8% (norm 7.3%)

Cody Durden

Distance 91.0% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 2.3% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 6.8% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Allan Nascimento

Head 62.5% (norm 75.9%) · Body 19.4% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 18.1% (norm 9.3%)

Cody Durden

Head 84.6% (norm 75.9%) · Body 7.6% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 7.7% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Nascimento L/AAccFlyweight med Durden L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 131 / 319 41.1% 40.0% 473 / 1130 41.9% 40.0%
In the clinch 14 / 17 too few to rate 70.4% 21 / 28 75.0% 70.4%
On the ground 27 / 45 60.0% 69.7% 58 / 84 69.0% 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 72 / 238 30.3% 37.6% 405 / 1051 38.5% 37.6%
To the body 44 / 74 59.5% 68.5% 69 / 95 72.6% 68.5%
To the legs 56 / 69 81.2% 80.0% 78 / 96 81.2% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Nascimento L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Durden L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 114 / 289 39.4% 40.1% 546 / 1193 45.8% 40.1%
In the clinch 8 / 10 too few to rate 68.8% 54 / 74 73.0% 68.8%
On the ground 16 / 24 too few to rate 71.1% 58 / 76 76.3% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 106 / 279 38.0% 35.2% 424 / 1001 42.4% 35.2%
To the body 26 / 34 76.5% 68.2% 120 / 196 61.2% 68.2%
To the legs 6 / 10 too few to rate 80.3% 114 / 146 78.1% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

525.0% acc · 1.05/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
4348.3% acc · 3.82/15 · norm 1.30
743.8% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
1356.5% def · norm 62.5%
23:5133.4% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
61:4336.5% of cage time · norm 17.0%
23:064:50 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
23:162:03 per 15 · norm 2:44
51.05/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
70.62/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Durden has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.