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Ali Bagautinov vs. Tim Elliott

UFC 4-3-0 vs. 11-12-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
4-3-0
UFC record
11-12-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
41
AgeΔ 2 yrs
39
5'4"
HeightΔ 3"
5'7"
65"
ReachΔ 1"
66"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
119
Layoff (months)Δ 117.8 mo
1.2
LWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Tim Elliott hunts takedowns — 3.69 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Ali Bagautinov hunts takedowns — 2.51 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Tim Elliott owns the mat — in control 30% of cage time, vs a 17% Flyweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Ali Bagautinov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 43
Tier 3 — regional circuit 184

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.85 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.1 wins over .500

Tim Elliott

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1012
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 92

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.66 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 36 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3232.85/min · norm 3.48
Sig. strikes landed
10123.55/min · norm 3.48
3513.09/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
8683.05/min · norm 3.24
42.4%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
42.4%norm 44.6%
52.4%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
56.2%norm 56.4%
20.26/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
20.11/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Ali Bagautinov

Distance 70.6% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 12.7% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 16.7% (norm 7.3%)

Tim Elliott

Distance 78.7% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 9.5% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 11.9% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Ali Bagautinov

Head 75.3% (norm 75.9%) · Body 17.7% (norm 13.0%) · Legs 7.0% (norm 9.3%)

Tim Elliott

Head 72.7% (norm 75.9%) · Body 15.1% (norm 13.0%) · Legs 12.2% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Bagautinov L/AAccFlyweight med Elliott L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 166 / 537 30.9% 39.9% 670 / 1877 35.7% 39.9%
In the clinch 64 / 97 66.0% 70.1% 160 / 226 70.8% 70.1%
On the ground 93 / 127 73.2% 69.7% 182 / 283 64.3% 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 182 / 573 31.8% 37.6% 600 / 1735 34.6% 37.6%
To the body 104 / 135 77.0% 68.5% 191 / 361 52.9% 68.5%
To the legs 37 / 53 69.8% 80.0% 221 / 290 76.2% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Bagautinov L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Elliott L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 193 / 537 35.9% 39.9% 729 / 1773 41.1% 39.9%
In the clinch 131 / 169 77.5% 68.8% 85 / 131 64.9% 68.8%
On the ground 27 / 31 87.1% 70.4% 54 / 76 71.1% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 188 / 507 37.1% 35.4% 622 / 1659 37.5% 35.4%
To the body 88 / 130 67.7% 67.9% 163 / 222 73.4% 67.9%
To the legs 75 / 100 75.0% 80.2% 83 / 99 83.8% 80.2%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1936.5% acc · 2.51/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
7045.5% acc · 3.69/15 · norm 1.30
1365.0% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
3859.4% def · norm 62.5%
31:5028.1% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
86:3930.4% of cage time · norm 17.0%
10:591:27 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control lower is better
58:363:05 per 15 · norm 2:46
20.26/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
191.00/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Elliott has more cage time on record.