BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Alex White vs.
Estevan Payan

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-6-0 Alex White · UFC
0-3-0 Estevan Payan · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-6-0
UFC record
0-3-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
37.8
AgeΔ 6.6 yrs
44.4
6'0"
HeightΔ 2"
5'10"
71"
Reach
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
81.3
Layoff (months)Δ 66.3 mo
147.6
LWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Alex White carries real power — 0.52 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Estevan Payan rarely shoots — 0.56 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Estevan Payan's takedown defense leaks — 33% stopped, vs a 62% Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Alex White

Full career not yet synced for Alex White — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Estevan Payan

Full career not yet synced for Estevan Payan — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4313.76/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
672.51/min · norm 3.54
3523.07/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
1033.86/min · norm 3.47
42.0%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
36.8%norm 45.0%
60.8%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
44.6%norm 54.85%
40.52/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Alex White

Distance 79.5% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 17.2% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.3% (norm 8.0%)

Estevan Payan

Distance 74.2% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 16.5% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 9.3% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Alex White

Head 76.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 20.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 3.4% (norm 7.9%)

Estevan Payan

Head 70.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 18.7% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 11.0% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone White L/AAccLightweight med Payan L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 288 / 816 35.3% 37.9% 33 / 135 24.4% 40.9%
In the clinch 118 / 176 67.0% 67.3% 25 / 30 83.3% 70.8%
On the ground 25 / 34 73.5% 69.1% 9 / 17 too few to rate 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 265 / 780 34.0% 35.0% 32 / 128 25.0% 37.2%
To the body 138 / 211 65.4% 69.1% 24 / 34 70.6% 68.2%
To the legs 28 / 35 80.0% 81.9% 11 / 20 too few to rate 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs White L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Payan L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 240 / 727 33.0% 38.9% 59 / 128 46.1% 39.2%
In the clinch 65 / 102 63.7% 68.6% 12 / 19 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 47 / 68 69.1% 68.0% 32 / 39 82.1% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 223 / 671 33.2% 35.1% 46 / 116 39.7% 35.9%
To the body 66 / 128 51.6% 68.1% 24 / 28 85.7% 67.9%
To the legs 63 / 98 64.3% 81.5% 33 / 42 78.6% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

728.0% acc · 0.92/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1100.0% acc · 0.56/15 · norm 1.19
2771.1% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
433.3% def · norm 61.5%
8:497.7% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
4:0215.1% of cage time · norm 16.7%
38:375:03 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
12:136:52 per 15 · norm 3:12
40.52/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
10.56/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — White has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.