BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Alex Caceres vs.
Chase Hooper

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

16-13-0 (1 NC) Alex Caceres · UFC
9-5-0 Chase Hooper · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

16-13-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
9-5-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
38.1
AgeΔ 11.2 yrs
26.9
5'10"
HeightΔ 3"
6'1"
73"
ReachΔ 1"
74"
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
26.8
Layoff (months)Δ 26.2 mo
0.6
LLWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Chase Hooper is a submission threat — 2.05 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Chase Hooper hunts takedowns — 2.82 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Alex Caceres rarely shoots — 0.54 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Alex Caceres

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1613
Tier 3 — regional circuit 52

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.78 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 37 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Chase Hooper

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 105
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.38 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 23 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

15194.21/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
5054.32/min · norm 3.42
11153.09/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
3573.05/min · norm 3.37
50.0%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
47.6%norm 43.5%
62.8%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
40.6%norm 56.3%
50.21/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
10.13/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Alex Caceres

Distance 90.0% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 5.8% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 4.1% (norm 6.5%)

Chase Hooper

Distance 72.4% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 9.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 18.1% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Alex Caceres

Head 75.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 17.1% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 7.8%)

Chase Hooper

Head 81.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.2% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Caceres L/AAccFeatherweight med Hooper L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1306 / 2737 47.7% 40.9% 311 / 768 40.5% 37.9%
In the clinch 128 / 177 72.3% 70.8% 59 / 101 58.4% 67.3%
On the ground 85 / 126 67.5% 69.2% 135 / 192 70.3% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 950 / 2289 41.5% 37.2% 357 / 869 41.1% 35.0%
To the body 381 / 521 73.1% 68.2% 93 / 126 73.8% 69.1%
To the legs 188 / 230 81.7% 80.7% 55 / 66 83.3% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Caceres L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Hooper L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 957 / 2752 34.8% 39.2% 254 / 475 53.5% 38.9%
In the clinch 70 / 105 66.7% 70.3% 33 / 44 75.0% 68.6%
On the ground 88 / 144 61.1% 69.4% 70 / 82 85.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 633 / 2305 27.5% 35.9% 255 / 482 52.9% 35.1%
To the body 210 / 358 58.7% 67.9% 51 / 63 81.0% 68.1%
To the legs 272 / 338 80.5% 81.5% 51 / 56 91.1% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1368.4% acc · 0.54/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
2234.4% acc · 2.82/15 · norm 1.38
8564.9% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
950.0% def · norm 64.0%
44:1012.2% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
41:4035.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
76:363:11 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
24:193:07 per 15 · norm 2:46
160.67/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
162.05/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Caceres has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.