BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

AJ Dobson vs.
Armen Petrosyan

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-3-0 AJ Dobson · UFC
3-4-0 Armen Petrosyan · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-3-0
UFC record
3-4-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
34.5
AgeΔ 1.3 yrs
35.8
6'1"
HeightΔ 2"
6'3"
76"
ReachΔ 5"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
28.4
Layoff (months)Δ 11.4 mo
17
LWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Armen Petrosyan rarely shoots — 0.18 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Armen Petrosyan outworks the Middleweight division — 5.91 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.25 norm.
AJ Dobson absorbs 5.61 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.20 Middleweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

AJ Dobson

Full career not yet synced for AJ Dobson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Armen Petrosyan

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 44
Tier 3 — regional circuit 63

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.45 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 17 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1923.87/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
4975.91/min · norm 3.25
2785.61/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
2883.42/min · norm 3.20
44.5%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
53.0%norm 47.4%
46.1%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
53.1%norm 53.8%
00.00/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

AJ Dobson

Distance 90.3% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 6.7% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 10.3%)

Armen Petrosyan

Distance 94.3% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 3.1% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 2.6% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

AJ Dobson

Head 75.6% (norm 78.0%) · Body 9.3% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 15.1% (norm 8.4%)

Armen Petrosyan

Head 56.5% (norm 78.0%) · Body 15.0% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 28.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Dobson L/AAccMiddleweight med Petrosyan L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 167 / 389 42.9% 40.5% 456 / 884 51.6% 40.5%
In the clinch 18 / 29 62.1% 70.3% 24 / 29 82.8% 70.3%
On the ground 7 / 13 too few to rate 69.1% 17 / 24 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 105 / 326 32.2% 38.9% 162 / 529 30.6% 38.9%
To the body 29 / 40 72.5% 71.7% 109 / 141 77.3% 71.7%
To the legs 58 / 65 89.2% 83.3% 226 / 267 84.6% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Dobson L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Petrosyan L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 200 / 406 49.3% 39.5% 274 / 594 46.1% 39.5%
In the clinch 21 / 30 70.0% 70.9% 13 / 19 too few to rate 70.9%
On the ground 57 / 80 71.2% 69.0% 1 / 1 too few to rate 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 131 / 350 37.4% 37.9% 152 / 436 34.9% 37.9%
To the body 58 / 66 87.9% 71.3% 70 / 96 72.9% 71.3%
To the legs 89 / 100 89.0% 82.1% 66 / 82 80.5% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

583.3% acc · 1.51/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
133.3% acc · 0.18/15 · norm 1.42
1365.0% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
1041.7% def · norm 63.1%
7:0414.3% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
5:016.0% of cage time · norm 19.75%
10:063:03 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
17:413:09 per 15 · norm 3:00
00.00/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Petrosyan has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.