BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Adam Milstead vs.
Curtis Blaydes

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-2-0 (1 NC) Adam Milstead · UFC
14-6-0 (1 NC) Curtis Blaydes · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-2-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
14-6-0 (1 NC)
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
39.1
AgeΔ 3.6 yrs
35.5
6'3"
HeightΔ 1"
6'4"
76"
ReachΔ 4"
80"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
91.7
Layoff (months)Δ 87.9 mo
3.8
LLNCW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Curtis Blaydes hunts takedowns — 5.12 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Curtis Blaydes owns the mat — in control 45% of cage time, vs a 17% Heavyweight norm.
Adam Milstead rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Adam Milstead

Full career not yet synced for Adam Milstead — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Curtis Blaydes

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 146
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 40

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.44 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 26 documented bouts

In the UFC: 11-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1273.85/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
8094.18/min · norm 3.36
1584.79/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
5342.76/min · norm 3.19
46.9%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
52.1%norm 47.8%
43.4%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
53.9%norm 52.5%
00.00/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
20.16/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Adam Milstead

Distance 86.3% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 12.2% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 1.5% (norm 10.4%)

Curtis Blaydes

Distance 69.1% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 11.4% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 19.5% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Adam Milstead

Head 90.4% (norm 79.2%) · Body 6.3% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 3.3% (norm 9.7%)

Curtis Blaydes

Head 83.7% (norm 79.2%) · Body 6.6% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 9.7% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Milstead L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Blaydes L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 101 / 234 43.2% 41.4% 421 / 1073 39.2% 40.1%
In the clinch 22 / 33 66.7% 70.9% 145 / 177 81.9% 70.6%
On the ground 4 / 4 too few to rate 72.3% 243 / 302 80.5% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 105 / 245 42.9% 38.9% 585 / 1299 45.0% 38.9%
To the body 13 / 17 too few to rate 71.9% 89 / 103 86.4% 76.8%
To the legs 9 / 9 too few to rate 81.8% 135 / 150 90.0% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Milstead L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Blaydes L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 107 / 220 48.6% 40.4% 427 / 1021 41.8% 40.7%
In the clinch 14 / 18 too few to rate 68.7% 82 / 108 75.9% 70.6%
On the ground 37 / 41 90.2% 70.4% 25 / 30 83.3% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 104 / 218 47.7% 37.5% 440 / 1037 42.4% 38.8%
To the body 25 / 31 80.6% 72.3% 64 / 87 73.6% 75.1%
To the legs 29 / 30 96.7% 83.0% 30 / 35 85.7% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
6647.8% acc · 5.12/15 · norm 0.95
1864.3% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
735.0% def · norm 64.3%
0:201.0% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
87:4245.3% of cage time · norm 17.2%
17:057:46 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
8:550:41 per 15 · norm 2:28
00.00/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Blaydes has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.