BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Abubakar Nurmagomedov vs.
Jared Gooden

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-2-0 Abubakar Nurmagomedov · UFC
2-5-0 Jared Gooden · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-2-0
UFC record
2-5-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
36.7
AgeΔ 4 yrs
32.7
5'11"
HeightΔ 1"
6'0"
72"
ReachΔ 5"
77"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
38.1
Layoff (months)Δ 16.3 mo
21.8
LWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Abubakar Nurmagomedov owns the mat — in control 42% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Jared Gooden absorbs 6.74 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.06 Welterweight norm — hittable.
Jared Gooden outworks the Welterweight division — 4.40 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.17 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Full career not yet synced for Abubakar Nurmagomedov — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Jared Gooden

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 26
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 196

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.61 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 35 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1332.78/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
3624.40/min · norm 3.17
1252.61/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
5556.74/min · norm 3.06
53.2%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
48.8%norm 44.9%
65.2%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
45.3%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
10.18/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Distance 93.2% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 6.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 0.8% (norm 8.1%)

Jared Gooden

Distance 91.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 5.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 3.1% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Head 82.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 9.2% (norm 8.4%)

Jared Gooden

Head 71.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 19.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 8.9% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Nurmagomedov L/AAccWelterweight med Gooden L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 119 / 233 51.1% 38.6% 314 / 682 46.0% 38.6%
In the clinch 13 / 15 too few to rate 67.8% 32 / 37 86.5% 67.8%
On the ground 1 / 2 too few to rate 67.2% 16 / 23 too few to rate 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 90 / 205 43.9% 37.2% 207 / 530 39.1% 37.2%
To the body 20 / 22 too few to rate 70.7% 100 / 146 68.5% 70.7%
To the legs 23 / 23 too few to rate 82.9% 55 / 66 83.3% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Nurmagomedov L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Gooden L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 89 / 306 29.1% 39.0% 417 / 831 50.2% 39.0%
In the clinch 30 / 43 69.8% 68.9% 96 / 120 80.0% 68.9%
On the ground 6 / 10 too few to rate 68.0% 42 / 63 66.7% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 68 / 261 26.1% 35.6% 374 / 800 46.8% 35.6%
To the body 39 / 76 51.3% 69.6% 134 / 164 81.7% 69.6%
To the legs 18 / 22 too few to rate 82.1% 47 / 50 94.0% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

422.2% acc · 1.25/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
545.5% acc · 0.91/15 · norm 1.27
888.9% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
1365.0% def · norm 63.9%
20:1942.5% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
5:136.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
1:230:26 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
25:084:34 per 15 · norm 3:15
00.00/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
20.36/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Gooden has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.