Kurtis Campbell

He states flatly that he has to side with Campbell and even calls the finishing method in advance, a level of specificity that reads as a real lean rather than a toss-up, even though he frames it somewhat apologetically given Peek's circumstances.

Campbell arrives 0-1 in the UFC despite a winning overall record, and the analyst pins that debut loss on his grappling never getting untracked. He rates the striking as ordinary but notes a genuinely useful calf kick coming from an unconventional look on the feet. The bigger selling point is the grappling package: multiple takedown entries, strong top control, and a tendency to grind forward with ground strikes until he can climb to the back. Once he's got the back, the analyst expects the rear-naked choke to follow, and he picks that same sequence to play out again in this fight.

A hedged pick leaning on the wrestler's chances of dragging the fight to the mat, described as a genuine style clash he wouldn't bet on.

Campbell is unbeaten and built that record on the mat — a diverse takedown arsenal, strong top control, real submission instincts (especially hunting the back for the rear-naked choke), and heavy ground-and-pound volume once he gets on top. His striking is a clear step below his opponent's and is probably a losing proposition if the fight stays standing, but the read is that his chin should hold up long enough to close distance and change the terms of the fight.