BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Zhang Weili vs.
Jessica Aguilar

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-3-0 Zhang Weili · UFC
1-4-0 Jessica Aguilar · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-3-0
UFC record
1-4-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
37
AgeΔ 7.2 yrs
44.2
5'4"
HeightΔ 1"
5'3"
63"
ReachΔ 0"
63"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
8.7
Layoff (months)Δ 79.5 mo
88.2
LWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jessica Aguilar absorbs 7.19 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.94 Women's Strawweight norm — hittable.
Zhang Weili hunts takedowns — 1.96 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Zhang Weili is a submission threat — 0.45 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Zhang Weili

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 103
Tier 3 — regional circuit 161

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.47 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 19 finish wins over 30 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +5.1 wins over .500

Jessica Aguilar

Full career not yet synced for Jessica Aguilar — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9294.66/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
3144.93/min · norm 3.77
5232.63/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
4587.19/min · norm 3.94
52.7%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
50.6%norm 44.5%
53.1%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
53.8%norm 54.4%
30.23/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Zhang Weili

Distance 74.0% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 20.3% (norm 5.0%)

Jessica Aguilar

Distance 74.4% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 19.8% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 5.8% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Zhang Weili

Head 68.0% (norm 76.4%) · Body 13.4% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 18.5% (norm 9.1%)

Jessica Aguilar

Head 72.6% (norm 76.4%) · Body 17.9% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 9.5% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Weili L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Aguilar L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 552 / 1305 42.3% 38.3% 194 / 461 42.1% 38.3%
In the clinch 82 / 100 82.0% 72.6% 96 / 123 78.0% 72.6%
On the ground 295 / 358 82.4% 75.0% 24 / 36 66.7% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 548 / 1199 45.7% 35.4% 168 / 450 37.3% 35.4%
To the body 159 / 237 67.1% 69.3% 88 / 111 79.3% 69.3%
To the legs 222 / 327 67.9% 77.9% 58 / 59 98.3% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Weili L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Aguilar L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 421 / 989 42.6% 39.7% 294 / 772 38.1% 39.7%
In the clinch 54 / 68 79.4% 71.5% 80 / 112 71.4% 71.5%
On the ground 48 / 59 81.4% 74.4% 84 / 108 77.8% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 284 / 791 35.9% 36.0% 313 / 804 38.9% 36.0%
To the body 98 / 136 72.1% 68.4% 97 / 132 73.5% 68.4%
To the legs 141 / 189 74.6% 79.1% 48 / 56 85.7% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2644.8% acc · 1.96/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
425.0% acc · 0.94/15 · norm 1.10
2163.6% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
550.0% def · norm 64.1%
57:4429.0% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
11:1717.7% of cage time · norm 19.4%
33:142:30 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
10:572:34 per 15 · norm 3:00
60.45/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
10.24/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Weili has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.