BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Zhalgas Zhumagulov vs.
Jerome Rivera

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-6-0 Zhalgas Zhumagulov · UFC
0-4-0 Jerome Rivera · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-6-0
UFC record
0-4-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
37.9
AgeΔ 6.6 yrs
31.3
5'4"
HeightΔ 6"
5'10"
66"
ReachΔ 6"
72"
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
37.4
Layoff (months)Δ 23.5 mo
60.9
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jerome Rivera rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Zhalgas Zhumagulov absorbs 5.86 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.24 Flyweight norm — hittable.
Jerome Rivera is wasteful with head shots — only 14% land, vs a 38% Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Zhalgas Zhumagulov

Full career not yet synced for Zhalgas Zhumagulov — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.4 wins over .500

Jerome Rivera

Full career not yet synced for Jerome Rivera — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -1.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4255.24/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
743.21/min · norm 3.49
4755.86/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
803.47/min · norm 3.24
43.1%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
28.8%norm 44.6%
52.2%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
48.4%norm 56.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Zhalgas Zhumagulov

Distance 96.7% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 2.8% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 0.5% (norm 7.3%)

Jerome Rivera

Distance 91.1% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 8.9% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Zhalgas Zhumagulov

Head 62.3% (norm 75.9%) · Body 22.2% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 15.5% (norm 9.3%)

Jerome Rivera

Head 63.4% (norm 75.9%) · Body 16.3% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 20.2% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Zhumagulov L/AAccFlyweight med Rivera L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 404 / 954 42.3% 40.0% 64 / 234 27.4% 40.0%
In the clinch 19 / 28 67.9% 70.4% 10 / 23 too few to rate 70.4%
On the ground 2 / 5 too few to rate 69.7% 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 155 / 615 25.2% 37.6% 23 / 163 14.1% 37.6%
To the body 137 / 219 62.6% 68.5% 18 / 42 42.9% 68.5%
To the legs 133 / 153 86.9% 80.0% 33 / 52 63.5% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Zhumagulov L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Rivera L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 435 / 941 46.2% 40.1% 49 / 112 43.8% 40.1%
In the clinch 36 / 47 76.6% 68.8% 7 / 7 too few to rate 68.8%
On the ground 4 / 5 too few to rate 71.1% 24 / 36 66.7% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 280 / 736 38.0% 35.2% 47 / 107 43.9% 35.2%
To the body 125 / 174 71.8% 68.2% 18 / 29 62.1% 68.2%
To the legs 70 / 83 84.3% 80.3% 15 / 19 too few to rate 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

719.4% acc · 1.30/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.30
675.0% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
233.3% def · norm 62.5%
8:5311.0% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
1:074.8% of cage time · norm 17.0%
5:361:02 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
7:445:02 per 15 · norm 2:44
10.19/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Zhumagulov has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.