BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Yuta Sasaki vs.
Justin Scoggins

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-5-0 Yuta Sasaki · UFC
4-5-0 Justin Scoggins · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-5-0
UFC record
4-5-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
36
AgeΔ 2 yrs
34
5'10"
HeightΔ 3"
5'7"
71"
ReachΔ 5"
66"
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
92.6
Layoff (months)Δ 4.2 mo
96.8
LWLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Justin Scoggins hunts takedowns — 3.42 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Yuta Sasaki hunts takedowns — 3.03 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Justin Scoggins owns the mat — in control 36% of cage time, vs a 17% Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Yuta Sasaki

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 79
Tier 3 — regional circuit 171

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.79 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 36 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Justin Scoggins

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 56
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 40
Tier 3 — regional circuit 71

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.91 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 23 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1392.16/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
3593.56/min · norm 3.49
1612.50/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
2182.16/min · norm 3.24
41.4%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
51.7%norm 44.6%
50.0%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
55.7%norm 56.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
10.15/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Yuta Sasaki

Distance 77.1% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 17.3% (norm 7.3%)

Justin Scoggins

Distance 75.9% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 6.6% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 17.4% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Yuta Sasaki

Head 73.8% (norm 75.9%) · Body 15.5% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 10.7% (norm 9.3%)

Justin Scoggins

Head 74.4% (norm 75.9%) · Body 17.3% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 8.4% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Sasaki L/AAccFlyweight med Scoggins L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 95 / 259 36.7% 40.0% 222 / 527 42.1% 40.0%
In the clinch 13 / 19 too few to rate 70.4% 38 / 46 82.6% 70.4%
On the ground 31 / 58 53.4% 69.7% 99 / 121 81.8% 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 83 / 248 33.5% 37.6% 236 / 516 45.7% 37.6%
To the body 33 / 52 63.5% 68.5% 74 / 120 61.7% 68.5%
To the legs 23 / 36 63.9% 80.0% 49 / 58 84.5% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Sasaki L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Scoggins L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 91 / 225 40.4% 40.1% 144 / 390 36.9% 40.1%
In the clinch 26 / 37 70.3% 68.8% 42 / 57 73.7% 68.8%
On the ground 44 / 60 73.3% 71.1% 32 / 45 71.1% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 102 / 249 41.0% 35.2% 119 / 338 35.2% 35.2%
To the body 24 / 34 70.6% 68.2% 58 / 89 65.2% 68.2%
To the legs 35 / 39 89.7% 80.3% 41 / 65 63.1% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1343.3% acc · 3.03/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
2363.9% acc · 3.42/15 · norm 1.30
741.2% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
3382.5% def · norm 62.5%
13:1520.6% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
36:3436.3% of cage time · norm 17.0%
31:517:24 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
13:081:57 per 15 · norm 2:44
51.16/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
30.45/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Sasaki has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.