BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Youssef Zalal vs.
Ilia Topuria

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-4-1 Youssef Zalal · UFC
9-1-0 Ilia Topuria · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-4-1
UFC record
9-1-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
29.9
AgeΔ 0.4 yrs
29.5
5'10"
HeightΔ 3"
5'7"
72"
ReachΔ 3"
69"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
3.4
Layoff (months)Δ 1.7 mo
1.7
LWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Ilia Topuria carries real power — 1.15 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Featherweight norm.
Youssef Zalal is a submission threat — 1.29 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.46 Featherweight norm.
Ilia Topuria is a submission threat — 0.86 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.46 Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Youssef Zalal

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 84
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 42
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.33 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 25 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.7 wins over .500

Ilia Topuria

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 91
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 2.06 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +6.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4542.78/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
5024.82/min · norm 3.54
2921.79/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
4143.97/min · norm 3.47
50.9%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
50.1%norm 45.0%
64.9%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
62.1%norm 54.85%
20.18/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
81.15/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Youssef Zalal

Distance 88.8% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 4.3% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 7.0% (norm 6.5%)

Ilia Topuria

Distance 84.3% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 4.5% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 11.2% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Youssef Zalal

Head 75.9% (norm 77.4%) · Body 12.0% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 12.1% (norm 7.8%)

Ilia Topuria

Head 78.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 15.1% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 6.6% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Zalal L/AAccFeatherweight med Topuria L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 389 / 792 49.1% 40.9% 387 / 845 45.8% 40.9%
In the clinch 28 / 38 73.7% 70.8% 34 / 45 75.6% 70.8%
On the ground 37 / 62 59.7% 69.2% 81 / 112 72.3% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 288 / 677 42.5% 37.2% 343 / 785 43.7% 37.2%
To the body 76 / 107 71.0% 68.2% 106 / 151 70.2% 68.2%
To the legs 90 / 108 83.3% 80.7% 53 / 66 80.3% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Zalal L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Topuria L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 235 / 750 31.3% 39.2% 383 / 1046 36.6% 39.2%
In the clinch 47 / 66 71.2% 70.3% 24 / 34 70.6% 70.3%
On the ground 10 / 15 too few to rate 69.4% 7 / 11 too few to rate 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 180 / 634 28.4% 35.9% 257 / 841 30.6% 35.9%
To the body 64 / 108 59.3% 67.9% 85 / 167 50.9% 67.9%
To the legs 48 / 89 53.9% 81.5% 72 / 83 86.7% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2031.7% acc · 1.84/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
1257.1% acc · 1.73/15 · norm 1.19
2455.8% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
2095.2% def · norm 61.5%
47:2529.0% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
21:2020.5% of cage time · norm 16.7%
41:233:48 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
6:330:56 per 15 · norm 3:12
141.29/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
60.86/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Zalal has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.