BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Yan Cabral vs.
Johnny Case

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-3-0 Yan Cabral · UFC
4-2-0 Johnny Case · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-3-0
UFC record
4-2-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
43.2
AgeΔ 6.1 yrs
37.1
5'11"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
73"
ReachΔ 1"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
122.9
Layoff (months)Δ 13.5 mo
109.4
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Yan Cabral owns the mat — in control 44% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Yan Cabral is a submission threat — 0.92 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Johnny Case carries real power — 0.38 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Yan Cabral

Full career not yet synced for Yan Cabral — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500

Johnny Case

Full career not yet synced for Johnny Case — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1151.77/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
3133.95/min · norm 3.42
1392.14/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
2112.66/min · norm 3.37
46.7%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
38.8%norm 43.5%
61.2%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
61.4%norm 56.3%
10.23/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
20.38/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Yan Cabral

Distance 67.5% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 11.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 21.5% (norm 8.0%)

Johnny Case

Distance 85.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 10.9% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Yan Cabral

Head 86.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.7% (norm 7.9%)

Johnny Case

Head 76.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.4% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Cabral L/AAccLightweight med Case L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 58 / 166 34.9% 37.9% 233 / 686 34.0% 37.9%
In the clinch 19 / 27 70.4% 67.3% 19 / 32 59.4% 67.3%
On the ground 38 / 53 71.7% 69.1% 61 / 88 69.3% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 88 / 213 41.3% 35.0% 187 / 618 30.3% 35.0%
To the body 14 / 19 too few to rate 69.1% 69 / 112 61.6% 69.1%
To the legs 13 / 14 too few to rate 81.9% 57 / 76 75.0% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Cabral L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Case L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 84 / 275 30.5% 38.9% 191 / 514 37.2% 38.9%
In the clinch 25 / 36 69.4% 68.6% 12 / 22 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 30 / 47 63.8% 68.0% 8 / 11 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 88 / 283 31.1% 35.1% 131 / 437 30.0% 35.1%
To the body 30 / 44 68.2% 68.1% 24 / 46 52.2% 68.1%
To the legs 21 / 31 67.7% 81.5% 56 / 64 87.5% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1130.6% acc · 2.54/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
945.0% acc · 1.70/15 · norm 1.38
228.6% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1672.7% def · norm 64.0%
28:5744.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
19:1724.3% of cage time · norm 19.5%
14:313:20 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
11:172:08 per 15 · norm 2:46
40.92/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
10.19/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Case has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.