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Yan Cabral vs. Johnny Case

UFC 2-3-0 vs. 4-2-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
2-3-0
UFC record
4-2-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
43
AgeΔ 6 yrs
37
5'11"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
73"
ReachΔ 1"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
125.4
Layoff (months)Δ 13.6 mo
111.8
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Yan Cabral owns the mat — in control 44% of cage time, vs a 19% Lightweight norm.
Yan Cabral is a submission threat — 0.92 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.48 Lightweight norm.
Johnny Case carries real power — 0.38 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Yan Cabral

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 23
Tier 3 — regional circuit 130

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.19 · 2 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500

Johnny Case

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 96
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 194

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.95 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 25 finish wins over 41 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1151.77/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
3133.95/min · norm 3.44
1392.14/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
2112.66/min · norm 3.38
46.7%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
38.8%norm 43.65%
61.2%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
61.4%norm 56.3%
10.23/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
20.38/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Yan Cabral

Distance 67.5% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 11.0% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 21.5% (norm 8.0%)

Johnny Case

Distance 85.1% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 4.0% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 10.9% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Yan Cabral

Head 86.6% (norm 78.0%) · Body 7.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.7% (norm 8.0%)

Johnny Case

Head 76.7% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.4% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Cabral L/AAccLightweight med Case L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 58 / 166 34.9% 38.3% 233 / 686 34.0% 38.3%
In the clinch 19 / 27 70.4% 67.5% 19 / 32 59.4% 67.5%
On the ground 38 / 53 71.7% 68.8% 61 / 88 69.3% 68.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 88 / 213 41.3% 35.1% 187 / 618 30.3% 35.1%
To the body 14 / 19 too few to rate 69.1% 69 / 112 61.6% 69.1%
To the legs 13 / 14 too few to rate 81.8% 57 / 76 75.0% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Lightweight: 204 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Cabral L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Case L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 84 / 275 30.5% 38.8% 191 / 514 37.2% 38.8%
In the clinch 25 / 36 69.4% 68.6% 12 / 22 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 30 / 47 63.8% 68.0% 8 / 11 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 88 / 283 31.1% 35.2% 131 / 437 30.0% 35.2%
To the body 30 / 44 68.2% 68.2% 24 / 46 52.2% 68.2%
To the legs 21 / 31 67.7% 81.5% 56 / 64 87.5% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1130.6% acc · 2.54/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
945.0% acc · 1.70/15 · norm 1.34
228.6% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
1672.7% def · norm 63.7%
28:5744.5% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
19:1724.3% of cage time · norm 18.95%
14:313:20 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
11:172:08 per 15 · norm 2:50
40.92/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
10.19/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Case has more cage time on record.