BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Wilson Gouveia vs.
Jason MacDonald

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-4-0 Wilson Gouveia · UFC
6-8-0 Jason MacDonald · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-4-0
UFC record
6-8-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
47.8
AgeΔ 3.4 yrs
51.2
6'1"
HeightΔ 2"
6'3"
76"
ReachΔ 4"
80"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
199.7
Layoff (months)Δ 29 mo
170.7
LLWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Wilson Gouveia is a submission threat — 2.25 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.27 Light Heavyweight norm.
Jason MacDonald is a submission threat — 1.97 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Wilson Gouveia carries real power — 0.90 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.40 Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Wilson Gouveia

Full career not yet synced for Wilson Gouveia — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Jason MacDonald

Full career not yet synced for Jason MacDonald — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2013.02/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
1301.55/min · norm 3.25
2704.06/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
2262.70/min · norm 3.20
40.0%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
52.8%norm 47.4%
56.5%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
46.9%norm 53.8%
40.90/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Wilson Gouveia

Distance 80.7% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 6.0% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 13.3% (norm 10.4%)

Jason MacDonald

Distance 43.5% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 30.9% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 25.6% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Wilson Gouveia

Head 83.7% (norm 79.2%) · Body 1.8% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 14.5% (norm 9.7%)

Jason MacDonald

Head 63.4% (norm 78.0%) · Body 9.3% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 27.2% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Gouveia L/AAccLight Heavyweight med MacDonald L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 148 / 406 36.5% 41.4% 24 / 107 22.4% 40.5%
In the clinch 15 / 30 50.0% 70.9% 61 / 76 80.3% 70.3%
On the ground 38 / 67 56.7% 72.3% 45 / 63 71.4% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 134 / 421 31.8% 38.9% 50 / 156 32.1% 38.9%
To the body 8 / 9 too few to rate 71.9% 20 / 23 too few to rate 71.7%
To the legs 59 / 73 80.8% 81.8% 60 / 67 89.6% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Gouveia L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs MacDonald L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 166 / 424 39.2% 40.4% 41 / 118 34.7% 39.5%
In the clinch 27 / 45 60.0% 68.7% 51 / 75 68.0% 70.9%
On the ground 77 / 152 50.7% 70.4% 134 / 233 57.5% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 172 / 507 33.9% 37.5% 191 / 381 50.1% 37.9%
To the body 39 / 47 83.0% 72.3% 23 / 27 85.2% 71.3%
To the legs 59 / 67 88.1% 83.0% 12 / 18 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

466.7% acc · 0.90/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
816.3% acc · 1.43/15 · norm 1.42
1157.9% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
635.3% def · norm 63.1%
7:5111.8% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
31:0837.2% of cage time · norm 19.75%
15:223:27 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
35:186:19 per 15 · norm 3:00
102.25/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
111.97/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — MacDonald has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.