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Willamy Freire vs. Waylon Lowe

UFC 0-1-0 vs. 2-2-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
0-1-0
UFC record
2-2-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
39
AgeΔ 6 yrs
45
5'8"
HeightΔ 1"
5'7"
—
Reach
—
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
188.9
Layoff (months)Δ 2.1 mo
186.8
L
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Waylon Lowe hunts takedowns — 4.58 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.
Waylon Lowe owns the mat — in control 49% of cage time, vs a 19% Lightweight norm.
Willamy Freire is hard to hit — absorbs 1.00 sig. strikes per minute, vs a 3.38 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Willamy Freire

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 01
Tier 3 — regional circuit 265

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.79 · 0 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 32 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Waylon Lowe

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 33
Tier 3 — regional circuit 134

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.45 · 3 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 25 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

231.53/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
881.92/min · norm 3.44
151.00/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
1112.42/min · norm 3.38
46.0%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
56.4%norm 43.65%
46.4%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
52.4%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Willamy Freire

Distance 66.0% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 4.0% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 30.0% (norm 8.0%)

Waylon Lowe

Distance 77.6% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 7.1% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 15.4% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Willamy Freire

Head 80.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 10.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 10.0% (norm 8.0%)

Waylon Lowe

Head 94.2% (norm 78.0%) · Body 5.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Freire L/AAccLightweight med Lowe L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 7 / 33 21.2% 38.3% 66 / 121 54.5% 38.3%
In the clinch 2 / 2 too few to rate 67.5% 7 / 11 too few to rate 67.5%
On the ground 14 / 15 too few to rate 68.8% 15 / 24 too few to rate 68.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 16 / 40 40.0% 35.1% 80 / 147 54.4% 35.1%
To the body 3 / 5 too few to rate 69.1% 8 / 9 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 4 / 5 too few to rate 81.8% 0 / 0 too few to rate 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Lightweight: 204 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Freire L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Lowe L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 11 / 21 too few to rate 38.8% 74 / 190 38.9% 38.8%
In the clinch 1 / 2 too few to rate 68.6% 9 / 11 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 3 / 5 too few to rate 68.0% 28 / 32 87.5% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 11 / 24 too few to rate 35.2% 63 / 172 36.6% 35.2%
To the body 4 / 4 too few to rate 68.2% 20 / 26 76.9% 68.2%
To the legs 0 / 0 too few to rate 81.5% 28 / 35 80.0% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1100.0% acc · 1.00/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
1451.9% acc · 4.58/15 · norm 1.34
450.0% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
375.0% def · norm 63.7%
1:289.8% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
22:2748.9% of cage time · norm 18.95%
9:379:37 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
1:460:34 per 15 · norm 2:50
00.00/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
10.33/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lowe has more cage time on record.