BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Willamy Freire vs.
Waylon Lowe

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-1-0 Willamy Freire · UFC
2-2-0 Waylon Lowe · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-1-0
UFC record
2-2-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
39
AgeΔ 6 yrs
45
5'8"
HeightΔ 1"
5'7"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
186.4
Layoff (months)Δ 2 mo
184.4
L
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Waylon Lowe hunts takedowns — 4.58 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Waylon Lowe owns the mat — in control 49% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Willamy Freire is hard to hit — absorbs 1.00 sig. strikes per minute, vs a 3.37 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Willamy Freire

Full career not yet synced for Willamy Freire — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Waylon Lowe

Full career not yet synced for Waylon Lowe — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

231.53/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
881.92/min · norm 3.42
151.00/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
1112.42/min · norm 3.37
46.0%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
56.4%norm 43.5%
46.4%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
52.4%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Willamy Freire

Distance 66.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 30.0% (norm 8.0%)

Waylon Lowe

Distance 77.6% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.1% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 15.4% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Willamy Freire

Head 80.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 10.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 10.0% (norm 7.9%)

Waylon Lowe

Head 94.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 5.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Freire L/AAccLightweight med Lowe L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 7 / 33 21.2% 37.9% 66 / 121 54.5% 37.9%
In the clinch 2 / 2 too few to rate 67.3% 7 / 11 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 14 / 15 too few to rate 69.1% 15 / 24 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 16 / 40 40.0% 35.0% 80 / 147 54.4% 35.0%
To the body 3 / 5 too few to rate 69.1% 8 / 9 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 4 / 5 too few to rate 81.9% 0 / 0 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Freire L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Lowe L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 11 / 21 too few to rate 38.9% 74 / 190 38.9% 38.9%
In the clinch 1 / 2 too few to rate 68.6% 9 / 11 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 3 / 5 too few to rate 68.0% 28 / 32 87.5% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 11 / 24 too few to rate 35.1% 63 / 172 36.6% 35.1%
To the body 4 / 4 too few to rate 68.1% 20 / 26 76.9% 68.1%
To the legs 0 / 0 too few to rate 81.5% 28 / 35 80.0% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1100.0% acc · 1.00/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1451.9% acc · 4.58/15 · norm 1.38
450.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
375.0% def · norm 64.0%
1:289.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
22:2748.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
9:379:37 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
1:460:34 per 15 · norm 2:46
00.00/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
10.33/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lowe has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.