BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Waylon Lowe vs.
Willamy Freire

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-2-0 Waylon Lowe · UFC
0-1-0 Willamy Freire · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-2-0
UFC record
0-1-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
45
AgeΔ 6 yrs
39
5'7"
HeightΔ 1"
5'8"
Reach
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
184.4
Layoff (months)Δ 2 mo
186.4
LWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
L
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Waylon Lowe hunts takedowns — 4.58 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Waylon Lowe owns the mat — in control 49% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Willamy Freire is hard to hit — absorbs 1.00 sig. strikes per minute, vs a 3.37 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Waylon Lowe

Full career not yet synced for Waylon Lowe — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Willamy Freire

Full career not yet synced for Willamy Freire — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

881.92/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
231.53/min · norm 3.42
1112.42/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
151.00/min · norm 3.37
56.4%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
46.0%norm 43.5%
52.4%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
46.4%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Waylon Lowe

Distance 77.6% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.1% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 15.4% (norm 8.0%)

Willamy Freire

Distance 66.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 30.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Waylon Lowe

Head 94.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 5.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 7.9%)

Willamy Freire

Head 80.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 10.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 10.0% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Lowe L/AAccLightweight med Freire L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 66 / 121 54.5% 37.9% 7 / 33 21.2% 37.9%
In the clinch 7 / 11 too few to rate 67.3% 2 / 2 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 15 / 24 too few to rate 69.1% 14 / 15 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 80 / 147 54.4% 35.0% 16 / 40 40.0% 35.0%
To the body 8 / 9 too few to rate 69.1% 3 / 5 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 0 / 0 too few to rate 81.9% 4 / 5 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Lowe L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Freire L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 74 / 190 38.9% 38.9% 11 / 21 too few to rate 38.9%
In the clinch 9 / 11 too few to rate 68.6% 1 / 2 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 28 / 32 87.5% 68.0% 3 / 5 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 63 / 172 36.6% 35.1% 11 / 24 too few to rate 35.1%
To the body 20 / 26 76.9% 68.1% 4 / 4 too few to rate 68.1%
To the legs 28 / 35 80.0% 81.5% 0 / 0 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1451.9% acc · 4.58/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1100.0% acc · 1.00/15 · norm 1.38
375.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
450.0% def · norm 64.0%
22:2748.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
1:289.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
1:460:34 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
9:379:37 per 15 · norm 2:46
10.33/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lowe has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.