Waylon Lowe vs. Melvin Guillard
Tale of the tape
The read
Level of competition
Waylon Lowe
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 3 | 3 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 13 | 4 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.45 · 3 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 25 documented bouts
In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500
Melvin Guillard
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 12 | 13 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 21 | 11 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.38 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 24 finish wins over 62 documented bouts
In the UFC: 4-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500
Striking
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Waylon Lowe
Distance 77.6% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 7.1% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 15.4% (norm 8.0%)
Melvin Guillard
Distance 79.4% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 8.5% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 12.1% (norm 8.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Waylon Lowe
Head 94.2% (norm 78.0%) · Body 5.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 8.0%)
Melvin Guillard
Head 82.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 11.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 8.0%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Lowe L/A | Acc | Lightweight med | Guillard L/A | Acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 66 / 121 | 54.5% | 38.3% | 312 / 896 | 34.8% | 38.3% |
| In the clinch | 7 / 11 | too few to rate | 67.5% | 58 / 96 | 60.4% | 67.5% |
| On the ground | 15 / 24 | too few to rate | 68.8% | 78 / 136 | 57.4% | 68.8% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 80 / 147 | 54.4% | 35.1% | 300 / 928 | 32.3% | 35.1% |
| To the body | 8 / 9 | too few to rate | 69.1% | 90 / 134 | 67.2% | 69.1% |
| To the legs | 0 / 0 | too few to rate | 81.8% | 58 / 66 | 87.9% | 81.8% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Lightweight: 204 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Lowe L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med | vs Guillard L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 74 / 190 | 38.9% | 38.8% | 219 / 732 | 29.9% | 38.8% |
| In the clinch | 9 / 11 | too few to rate | 68.6% | 36 / 75 | 48.0% | 68.6% |
| On the ground | 28 / 32 | 87.5% | 68.0% | 12 / 31 | 38.7% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 63 / 172 | 36.6% | 35.2% | 123 / 604 | 20.4% | 35.2% |
| To the body | 20 / 26 | 76.9% | 68.2% | 59 / 111 | 53.2% | 68.2% |
| To the legs | 28 / 35 | 80.0% | 81.5% | 85 / 123 | 69.1% | 81.5% |
Grappling
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Guillard has more cage time on record.