BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Warlley Alves vs.
Nicolas Dalby

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-8-0 Warlley Alves · UFC
8-5-1 (1 NC) Nicolas Dalby · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-8-0
UFC record
8-5-1 (1 NC)
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
35.6
AgeΔ 6.1 yrs
41.7
5'11"
HeightΔ 0"
5'11"
72"
ReachΔ 2"
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
26.6
Layoff (months)Δ 18.2 mo
8.4
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Warlley Alves is a submission threat — 0.85 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Nicolas Dalby rarely shoots — 0.90 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Warlley Alves absorbs 3.95 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.06 Welterweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Warlley Alves

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 88
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.02 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Nicolas Dalby

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 85
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 51
Tier 3 — regional circuit 110

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.14 · 13 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 33 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4853.04/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
7723.88/min · norm 3.17
6293.95/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
6993.51/min · norm 3.06
48.1%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
43.5%norm 44.9%
50.7%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
52.2%norm 55.25%
30.28/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
20.15/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Warlley Alves

Distance 85.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 9.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 5.1% (norm 8.1%)

Nicolas Dalby

Distance 76.7% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 18.4% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 5.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Warlley Alves

Head 70.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 13.6% (norm 8.4%)

Nicolas Dalby

Head 74.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 9.4% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Alves L/AAccWelterweight med Dalby L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 379 / 861 44.0% 38.6% 477 / 1360 35.1% 38.6%
In the clinch 71 / 97 73.2% 67.8% 236 / 326 72.4% 67.8%
On the ground 35 / 51 68.6% 67.2% 59 / 88 67.0% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 268 / 715 37.5% 37.2% 458 / 1316 34.8% 37.2%
To the body 111 / 157 70.7% 70.7% 188 / 292 64.4% 70.7%
To the legs 106 / 137 77.4% 82.9% 126 / 166 75.9% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Alves L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Dalby L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 466 / 1046 44.6% 39.0% 557 / 1253 44.5% 39.0%
In the clinch 128 / 168 76.2% 68.9% 91 / 123 74.0% 68.9%
On the ground 35 / 62 56.5% 68.0% 51 / 87 58.6% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 423 / 995 42.5% 35.6% 450 / 1143 39.4% 35.6%
To the body 150 / 210 71.4% 69.6% 150 / 210 71.4% 69.6%
To the legs 56 / 71 78.9% 82.1% 99 / 110 90.0% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1350.0% acc · 1.22/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
1226.7% acc · 0.90/15 · norm 1.27
1763.0% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
3959.1% def · norm 63.9%
35:0822.1% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
45:3722.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
37:263:31 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
54:314:06 per 15 · norm 3:15
90.85/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
10.08/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Alves has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.