Wagner Prado vs. Phil Davis

UFC 0-2-0 (1 NC) vs. 9-3-0 (1 NC)

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
0-2-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
9-3-0 (1 NC)
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
39
AgeΔ 2 yrs
41
6'0"
HeightΔ 2"
6'2"
74"
ReachΔ 5"
79"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
162.5
Layoff (months)Δ 24.1 mo
138.4
LLNC
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Phil Davis hunts takedowns — 2.76 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Phil Davis owns the mat — in control 34% of cage time, vs a 16% Light Heavyweight norm.
Wagner Prado rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Wagner Prado

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 02
Tier 3 — regional circuit 186

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.44 · 0 tier-1/2 wins · 16 finish wins over 28 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.7 wins over .500

Phil Davis

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 208
Tier 3 — regional circuit 40

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.5 · 20 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 33 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.5 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

321.72/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
4852.87/min · norm 3.41
573.06/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
2241.33/min · norm 3.35
40.0%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
34.5%norm 48.3%
50.9%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
72.3%norm 52.9%
00.00/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Wagner Prado

Distance 92.5% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 5.0% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 2.5% (norm 10.4%)

Phil Davis

Distance 73.9% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 6.3% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 19.8% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Wagner Prado

Head 67.5% (norm 79.2%) · Body 31.2% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 1.2% (norm 9.7%)

Phil Davis

Head 75.0% (norm 79.2%) · Body 18.0% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 7.0% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Prado L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Davis L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 28 / 74 37.8% 41.4% 241 / 1039 23.2% 41.4%
In the clinch 4 / 4 too few to rate 70.9% 62 / 89 69.7% 70.9%
On the ground 0 / 2 too few to rate 72.3% 182 / 278 65.5% 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 16 / 54 29.6% 38.9% 272 / 1055 25.8% 38.9%
To the body 16 / 25 64.0% 71.9% 149 / 253 58.9% 71.9%
To the legs 0 / 1 too few to rate 81.8% 64 / 98 65.3% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Prado L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Davis L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 29 / 78 37.2% 40.4% 182 / 730 24.9% 40.4%
In the clinch 7 / 9 too few to rate 68.7% 24 / 54 44.4% 68.7%
On the ground 21 / 29 72.4% 70.4% 18 / 26 69.2% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 29 / 78 37.2% 37.5% 150 / 678 22.1% 37.5%
To the body 24 / 33 72.7% 72.3% 37 / 74 50.0% 72.3%
To the legs 4 / 5 too few to rate 83.0% 37 / 58 63.8% 83.0%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
3135.6% acc · 2.76/15 · norm 0.87
222.2% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
1372.2% def · norm 66.7%
1:136.5% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
56:5033.7% of cage time · norm 16.5%
7:175:52 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
9:370:51 per 15 · norm 2:48
00.00/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
60.53/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Davis has more cage time on record.