BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Wagner Prado vs.
Ildemar Alcantara

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-2-0 (1 NC) Wagner Prado · UFC
4-3-0 Ildemar Alcantara · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-2-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
4-3-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
39.6
AgeΔ 4.1 yrs
43.7
6'0"
HeightΔ 2"
6'2"
74"
ReachΔ 4"
78"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
162.5
Layoff (months)Δ 29.8 mo
132.7
LLNC
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Ildemar Alcantara is a submission threat — 0.92 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Wagner Prado rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Wagner Prado's takedown defense leaks — 22% stopped, vs a 67% Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Wagner Prado

Full career not yet synced for Wagner Prado — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.7 wins over .500

Ildemar Alcantara

Full career not yet synced for Ildemar Alcantara — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

321.72/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
1881.93/min · norm 3.17
573.06/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
2572.63/min · norm 3.06
40.0%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
38.7%norm 44.9%
50.9%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
50.3%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Wagner Prado

Distance 92.5% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 5.0% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 2.5% (norm 10.4%)

Ildemar Alcantara

Distance 83.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 8.4% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 8.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Wagner Prado

Head 67.5% (norm 79.2%) · Body 31.2% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 1.2% (norm 9.7%)

Ildemar Alcantara

Head 78.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Prado L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Alcantara L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 28 / 74 37.8% 41.4% 129 / 406 31.8% 38.6%
In the clinch 4 / 4 too few to rate 70.9% 34 / 41 82.9% 67.8%
On the ground 0 / 2 too few to rate 72.3% 25 / 39 64.1% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 16 / 54 29.6% 38.9% 106 / 381 27.8% 37.2%
To the body 16 / 25 64.0% 71.9% 62 / 83 74.7% 70.7%
To the legs 0 / 1 too few to rate 81.8% 20 / 22 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Prado L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Alcantara L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 29 / 78 37.2% 40.4% 154 / 354 43.5% 39.0%
In the clinch 7 / 9 too few to rate 68.7% 26 / 33 78.8% 68.9%
On the ground 21 / 29 72.4% 70.4% 77 / 130 59.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 29 / 78 37.2% 37.5% 161 / 377 42.7% 35.6%
To the body 24 / 33 72.7% 72.3% 36 / 70 51.4% 69.6%
To the legs 4 / 5 too few to rate 83.0% 60 / 70 85.7% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
1368.4% acc · 2.00/15 · norm 1.27
222.2% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
2781.8% def · norm 63.9%
1:136.5% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
16:2616.8% of cage time · norm 18.5%
7:175:52 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
27:184:11 per 15 · norm 3:15
00.00/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
60.92/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Alcantara has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.