BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Volkan Oezdemir vs.
Anthony Smith

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

9-7-0 Volkan Oezdemir · UFC
13-12-0 Anthony Smith · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

9-7-0
UFC record
13-12-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
36.9
AgeΔ 1.1 yrs
38
6'2"
HeightΔ 2"
6'4"
75"
ReachΔ 1"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
8.4
Layoff (months)Δ 6.9 mo
15.3
WLWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Volkan Oezdemir carries real power — 0.70 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.40 Light Heavyweight norm.
Anthony Smith is a submission threat — 0.46 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.27 Light Heavyweight norm.
Anthony Smith absorbs 5.19 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.35 Light Heavyweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Volkan Oezdemir

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 108
Tier 3 — regional circuit 90

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.16 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.4 wins over .500

Anthony Smith

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1512
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 2310

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.69 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 36 finish wins over 61 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-11 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7514.99/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
8403.24/min · norm 3.41
6314.19/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
13475.19/min · norm 3.35
48.4%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
50.1%norm 48.3%
55.4%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
44.4%norm 52.9%
70.70/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
70.40/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Volkan Oezdemir

Distance 85.6% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 8.6% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 5.9% (norm 10.4%)

Anthony Smith

Distance 91.7% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 5.3% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Volkan Oezdemir

Head 77.6% (norm 79.2%) · Body 10.4% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 12.0% (norm 9.7%)

Anthony Smith

Head 75.6% (norm 79.2%) · Body 13.8% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 10.6% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Oezdemir L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Smith L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 601 / 1329 45.2% 41.4% 739 / 1539 48.0% 41.4%
In the clinch 88 / 133 66.2% 70.9% 64 / 89 71.9% 70.9%
On the ground 62 / 91 68.1% 72.3% 37 / 50 74.0% 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 470 / 1205 39.0% 38.9% 527 / 1268 41.6% 38.9%
To the body 114 / 162 70.4% 71.9% 155 / 232 66.8% 71.9%
To the legs 167 / 186 89.8% 81.8% 158 / 178 88.8% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Oezdemir L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Smith L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 550 / 1295 42.5% 40.4% 835 / 1752 47.7% 40.4%
In the clinch 67 / 97 69.1% 68.7% 117 / 170 68.8% 68.7%
On the ground 14 / 23 too few to rate 70.4% 395 / 500 79.0% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 447 / 1162 38.5% 37.5% 810 / 1762 46.0% 37.5%
To the body 128 / 189 67.7% 72.3% 210 / 294 71.4% 72.3%
To the legs 56 / 64 87.5% 83.0% 327 / 366 89.3% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

529.4% acc · 0.50/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
822.9% acc · 0.46/15 · norm 0.87
5280.0% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
2450.0% def · norm 66.7%
16:4511.1% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
16:236.3% of cage time · norm 16.5%
19:011:53 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
82:234:45 per 15 · norm 2:48
10.10/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
80.46/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Smith has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.