BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Vitor Petrino vs.
Modestas Bukauskas

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

7-2-0 Vitor Petrino · UFC
8-5-0 Modestas Bukauskas · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

7-2-0
UFC record
8-5-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
28.9
AgeΔ 3.6 yrs
32.5
6'2"
HeightΔ 1"
6'3"
77"
ReachΔ 1"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
4.7
Layoff (months)Δ 2 mo
2.7
WWWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Vitor Petrino hunts takedowns — 2.84 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Vitor Petrino is a submission threat — 0.79 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.27 Light Heavyweight norm.
Modestas Bukauskas rarely shoots — 0.23 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Vitor Petrino

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 82
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.7 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 16 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Modestas Bukauskas

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 85
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 71
Tier 3 — regional circuit 51

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.19 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2943.09/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
4113.14/min · norm 3.41
2632.76/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
5053.86/min · norm 3.35
48.8%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
43.0%norm 48.3%
50.9%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
50.5%norm 52.9%
30.47/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
10.11/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Vitor Petrino

Distance 87.1% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 3.3% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 9.6% (norm 10.4%)

Modestas Bukauskas

Distance 91.4% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 2.9% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Vitor Petrino

Head 80.4% (norm 79.2%) · Body 11.9% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 9.7%)

Modestas Bukauskas

Head 85.8% (norm 79.2%) · Body 9.2% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 5.0% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Petrino L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Bukauskas L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 240 / 525 45.7% 41.4% 355 / 873 40.7% 41.4%
In the clinch 12 / 20 too few to rate 70.9% 37 / 54 68.5% 70.9%
On the ground 42 / 58 72.4% 72.3% 19 / 28 67.9% 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 198 / 485 40.8% 38.9% 297 / 819 36.3% 38.9%
To the body 58 / 72 80.6% 71.9% 70 / 88 79.5% 71.9%
To the legs 38 / 46 82.6% 81.8% 44 / 48 91.7% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Petrino L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Bukauskas L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 225 / 490 45.9% 40.4% 442 / 941 47.0% 40.4%
In the clinch 29 / 37 78.4% 68.7% 54 / 67 80.6% 68.7%
On the ground 9 / 9 too few to rate 70.4% 9 / 13 too few to rate 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 137 / 382 35.9% 37.5% 202 / 637 31.7% 37.5%
To the body 60 / 80 75.0% 72.3% 176 / 230 76.5% 72.3%
To the legs 66 / 74 89.2% 83.0% 127 / 154 82.5% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1846.2% acc · 2.84/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
266.7% acc · 0.23/15 · norm 0.87
2180.8% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
2382.1% def · norm 66.7%
30:5232.4% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
14:2111.0% of cage time · norm 16.5%
7:461:13 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
19:362:14 per 15 · norm 2:48
50.79/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
10.11/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Bukauskas has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.