BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Vinny Magalhaes vs.
Ryan Bader

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-4-0 Vinny Magalhaes · UFC
15-5-0 Ryan Bader · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-4-0
UFC record
15-5-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
42.1
AgeΔ 1.1 yrs
43.2
6'3"
HeightΔ 1"
6'2"
75"
ReachΔ 1"
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
156.1
Layoff (months)Δ 39.6 mo
116.5
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Ryan Bader hunts takedowns — 3.37 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Vinny Magalhaes is a submission threat — 0.77 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.27 Light Heavyweight norm.
Ryan Bader owns the mat — in control 37% of cage time, vs a 16% Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Vinny Magalhaes

Full career not yet synced for Vinny Magalhaes — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Ryan Bader

Full career not yet synced for Ryan Bader — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 10-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

832.14/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
5772.82/min · norm 3.41
1543.97/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
2851.39/min · norm 3.35
24.5%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
43.3%norm 48.3%
68.4%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
71.8%norm 52.9%
00.00/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
70.51/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Vinny Magalhaes

Distance 87.9% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 4.7% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 7.4% (norm 10.4%)

Ryan Bader

Distance 68.9% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 6.8% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 24.3% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Vinny Magalhaes

Head 79.4% (norm 79.2%) · Body 10.9% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 9.7% (norm 9.7%)

Ryan Bader

Head 84.6% (norm 79.2%) · Body 7.7% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 7.7% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Magalhaes L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Bader L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 60 / 298 20.1% 41.4% 278 / 918 30.3% 41.4%
In the clinch 12 / 16 too few to rate 70.9% 59 / 90 65.6% 70.9%
On the ground 11 / 25 44.0% 72.3% 240 / 324 74.1% 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 39 / 269 14.5% 38.9% 423 / 1127 37.5% 38.9%
To the body 25 / 37 67.6% 71.9% 71 / 102 69.6% 71.9%
To the legs 19 / 33 57.6% 81.8% 83 / 103 80.6% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Magalhaes L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Bader L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 136 / 462 29.4% 40.4% 218 / 905 24.1% 40.4%
In the clinch 6 / 6 too few to rate 68.7% 31 / 54 57.4% 68.7%
On the ground 12 / 20 too few to rate 70.4% 36 / 50 72.0% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 115 / 434 26.5% 37.5% 179 / 835 21.4% 37.5%
To the body 17 / 32 53.1% 72.3% 67 / 115 58.3% 72.3%
To the legs 22 / 22 too few to rate 83.0% 39 / 59 66.1% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

444.4% acc · 1.55/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
4644.2% acc · 3.37/15 · norm 0.87
266.7% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
2580.6% def · norm 66.7%
3:078.0% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
76:2637.3% of cage time · norm 16.5%
4:071:35 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
13:240:58 per 15 · norm 2:48
20.77/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
60.44/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Bader has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.