BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Veronica Hardy vs.
Ashlee Evans-Smith

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-5-0 Veronica Hardy · UFC
3-6-0 Ashlee Evans-Smith · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-5-0
UFC record
3-6-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Bantamweight
30.8
AgeΔ 8.3 yrs
39.1
5'4"
HeightΔ 4"
5'8"
64"
ReachΔ 3"
67"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
10.1
Layoff (months)Δ 26.6 mo
36.7
WLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Ashlee Evans-Smith is wasteful with head shots — only 23% land, vs a 38% Women's Bantamweight norm.
Veronica Hardy carries real power — 0.12 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.09 Women's Flyweight norm.
Ashlee Evans-Smith absorbs 4.59 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.51 Women's Bantamweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Veronica Hardy

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 55
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.81 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 3 finish wins over 16 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Ashlee Evans-Smith

Full career not yet synced for Ashlee Evans-Smith — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3903.06/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
4464.03/min · norm 3.56
4133.24/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
5084.59/min · norm 3.51
46.0%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
34.1%norm 46.65%
50.3%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
53.9%norm 52.45%
10.12/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.08

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Veronica Hardy

Distance 83.5% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 8.6% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 7.9% (norm 4.9%)

Ashlee Evans-Smith

Distance 85.8% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 10.2% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 4.0% (norm 7.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Veronica Hardy

Head 78.1% (norm 78.1%) · Body 13.1% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 8.8% (norm 7.7%)

Ashlee Evans-Smith

Head 75.9% (norm 75.2%) · Body 16.3% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 7.9% (norm 8.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Hardy L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Evans-Smith L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 293 / 708 41.4% 39.9% 309 / 1123 27.5% 38.3%
In the clinch 48 / 73 65.8% 73.3% 98 / 134 73.1% 73.3%
On the ground 49 / 67 73.1% 74.7% 39 / 52 75.0% 70.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 255 / 662 38.5% 34.9% 229 / 993 23.1% 37.7%
To the body 71 / 111 64.0% 69.5% 135 / 213 63.4% 70.0%
To the legs 64 / 75 85.3% 82.6% 82 / 103 79.6% 80.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Hardy L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Evans-Smith L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 233 / 590 39.5% 38.8% 376 / 904 41.6% 41.3%
In the clinch 105 / 126 83.3% 74.1% 78 / 120 65.0% 74.7%
On the ground 75 / 115 65.2% 73.4% 54 / 77 70.1% 74.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 244 / 597 40.9% 35.3% 319 / 871 36.6% 38.1%
To the body 130 / 172 75.6% 69.0% 95 / 125 76.0% 73.2%
To the legs 39 / 62 62.9% 78.7% 94 / 105 89.5% 80.9%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

741.2% acc · 0.82/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
722.6% acc · 0.95/15 · norm 0.91
1651.6% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
1550.0% def · norm 62.5%
17:2313.6% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
13:3012.2% of cage time · norm 26.55%
40:124:44 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
24:463:21 per 15 · norm 3:19
30.35/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.34

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Hardy has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.