BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Valentina Shevchenko vs.
Zhang Weili

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

15-3-1 Valentina Shevchenko · UFC
10-3-0 Zhang Weili · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

15-3-1
UFC record
10-3-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
38.4
AgeΔ 1.4 yrs
37
5'5"
HeightΔ 1"
5'4"
66"
ReachΔ 3"
63"
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
8.7
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
8.7
WWWDL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Valentina Shevchenko hunts takedowns — 2.65 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Zhang Weili hunts takedowns — 1.96 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Valentina Shevchenko owns the mat — in control 31% of cage time, vs a 19% Women's Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Valentina Shevchenko

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 153
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 101

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.56 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 12-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500

Zhang Weili

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 103
Tier 3 — regional circuit 161

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.47 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 19 finish wins over 30 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +5.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

11003.04/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
9294.66/min · norm 3.77
7262.00/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
5232.63/min · norm 3.94
52.6%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
52.7%norm 44.5%
63.5%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
53.1%norm 54.4%
20.08/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
30.23/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Valentina Shevchenko

Distance 81.0% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 7.4% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 11.6% (norm 4.9%)

Zhang Weili

Distance 74.0% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 20.3% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Valentina Shevchenko

Head 76.1% (norm 78.1%) · Body 10.6% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 13.3% (norm 7.7%)

Zhang Weili

Head 68.0% (norm 76.4%) · Body 13.4% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 18.5% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Shevchenko L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Weili L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 790 / 1693 46.7% 39.9% 552 / 1305 42.3% 38.3%
In the clinch 104 / 155 67.1% 73.3% 82 / 100 82.0% 72.6%
On the ground 206 / 242 85.1% 74.7% 295 / 358 82.4% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 722 / 1590 45.4% 34.9% 548 / 1199 45.7% 35.4%
To the body 150 / 221 67.9% 69.5% 159 / 237 67.1% 69.3%
To the legs 228 / 279 81.7% 82.6% 222 / 327 67.9% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Shevchenko L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Weili L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 529 / 1739 30.4% 38.8% 421 / 989 42.6% 39.7%
In the clinch 153 / 183 83.6% 74.1% 54 / 68 79.4% 71.5%
On the ground 44 / 69 63.8% 73.4% 48 / 59 81.4% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 265 / 1251 21.2% 35.3% 284 / 791 35.9% 36.0%
To the body 215 / 351 61.3% 69.0% 98 / 136 72.1% 68.4%
To the legs 246 / 389 63.2% 78.7% 141 / 189 74.6% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

6461.5% acc · 2.65/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
2644.8% acc · 1.96/15 · norm 1.10
4276.4% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
2163.6% def · norm 64.1%
113:4931.4% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
57:4429.0% of cage time · norm 19.4%
51:082:07 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
33:142:30 per 15 · norm 3:00
70.29/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
60.45/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Shevchenko has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.