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Valentina Shevchenko vs. Katlyn Cerminara

UFC 15-3-1 vs. 12-6-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
15-3-1
UFC record
12-6-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
38
AgeΔ 1 yrs
37
5'5"
HeightΔ 4"
5'9"
66"
ReachΔ 2"
68"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
11.1
Layoff (months)Δ 11 mo
0.1
WWWDL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Valentina Shevchenko hunts takedowns — 2.65 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.94 Women's Flyweight norm.
Valentina Shevchenko owns the mat — in control 31% of cage time, vs a 19% Women's Flyweight norm.
Katlyn Cerminara rarely shoots — 0.31 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.94 Women's Flyweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Valentina Shevchenko

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 153
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 101

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.56 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 12-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500

Katlyn Cerminara

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 116
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.13 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 3 finish wins over 24 documented bouts

In the UFC: 9-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

11003.04/min · norm 3.93
Sig. strikes landed
11364.62/min · norm 3.93
7262.00/min · norm 3.84
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
10994.47/min · norm 3.84
52.6%norm 45.5%
Striking accuracy
35.2%norm 45.5%
63.5%norm 56.1%
Striking defense
62.4%norm 56.1%
20.08/15 · norm 0.10
Knockdowns
20.12/15 · norm 0.10

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Valentina Shevchenko

Distance 81.0% (norm 87.5%) · Clinch 7.4% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 11.6% (norm 4.5%)

Katlyn Cerminara

Distance 93.7% (norm 87.5%) · Clinch 3.9% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 2.4% (norm 4.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Valentina Shevchenko

Head 76.1% (norm 78.1%) · Body 10.6% (norm 14.5%) · Legs 13.3% (norm 7.6%)

Katlyn Cerminara

Head 80.1% (norm 78.1%) · Body 13.6% (norm 14.5%) · Legs 6.3% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Shevchenko L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Cerminara L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 790 / 1693 46.7% 40.3% 985 / 3027 32.5% 40.3%
In the clinch 104 / 155 67.1% 73.9% 88 / 126 69.8% 73.9%
On the ground 206 / 242 85.1% 74.4% 63 / 77 81.8% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 722 / 1590 45.4% 36.0% 706 / 2587 27.3% 36.0%
To the body 150 / 221 67.9% 69.5% 271 / 440 61.6% 69.5%
To the legs 228 / 279 81.7% 82.3% 159 / 203 78.3% 82.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 47 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 47 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Shevchenko L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Cerminara L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 529 / 1739 30.4% 39.0% 961 / 2745 35.0% 39.0%
In the clinch 153 / 183 83.6% 73.8% 98 / 129 76.0% 73.8%
On the ground 44 / 69 63.8% 73.4% 40 / 47 85.1% 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 265 / 1251 21.2% 35.0% 572 / 2178 26.3% 35.0%
To the body 215 / 351 61.3% 69.0% 193 / 333 58.0% 69.0%
To the legs 246 / 389 63.2% 78.7% 334 / 410 81.5% 78.7%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
6461.5% acc · 2.65/15 · norm 0.94
Takedowns landed
515.6% acc · 0.31/15 · norm 0.94
4276.4% def · norm 61.1%
Takedowns stopped
2750.9% def · norm 61.1%
113:4931.4% of cage time · norm 18.7%
Control time
19:157.8% of cage time · norm 18.7%
51:082:07 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control lower is better
38:452:21 per 15 · norm 3:00
70.29/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
50.31/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Shevchenko has more cage time on record.