BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Valentina Shevchenko vs.
Joanna Jedrzejczyk

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

15-3-1 Valentina Shevchenko · UFC
10-5-0 Joanna Jedrzejczyk · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

15-3-1
UFC record
10-5-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
38.4
AgeΔ 0.6 yrs
39
5'5"
HeightΔ 1"
5'6"
66"
ReachΔ 1"
65"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
8.7
Layoff (months)Δ 41.1 mo
49.8
WWWDL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Valentina Shevchenko hunts takedowns — 2.65 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Joanna Jedrzejczyk rarely shoots — 0.27 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Joanna Jedrzejczyk outworks the Women's Strawweight division — 6.28 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.77 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Valentina Shevchenko

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 153
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 101

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.56 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 12-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500

Joanna Jedrzejczyk

Full career not yet synced for Joanna Jedrzejczyk — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 9-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

11003.04/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
17546.28/min · norm 3.77
7262.00/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
9073.25/min · norm 3.94
52.6%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
48.1%norm 44.5%
63.5%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
62.8%norm 54.4%
20.08/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
10.05/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Valentina Shevchenko

Distance 81.0% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 7.4% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 11.6% (norm 4.9%)

Joanna Jedrzejczyk

Distance 87.8% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 11.6% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 0.6% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Valentina Shevchenko

Head 76.1% (norm 78.1%) · Body 10.6% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 13.3% (norm 7.7%)

Joanna Jedrzejczyk

Head 65.7% (norm 76.4%) · Body 17.0% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 17.3% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Shevchenko L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Jedrzejczyk L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 790 / 1693 46.7% 39.9% 1431 / 3199 44.7% 38.3%
In the clinch 104 / 155 67.1% 73.3% 307 / 422 72.7% 72.6%
On the ground 206 / 242 85.1% 74.7% 16 / 23 too few to rate 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 722 / 1590 45.4% 34.9% 811 / 2395 33.9% 35.4%
To the body 150 / 221 67.9% 69.5% 435 / 619 70.3% 69.3%
To the legs 228 / 279 81.7% 82.6% 508 / 630 80.6% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Shevchenko L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Jedrzejczyk L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 529 / 1739 30.4% 38.8% 719 / 2169 33.1% 39.7%
In the clinch 153 / 183 83.6% 74.1% 118 / 190 62.1% 71.5%
On the ground 44 / 69 63.8% 73.4% 70 / 81 86.4% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 265 / 1251 21.2% 35.3% 591 / 1915 30.9% 36.0%
To the body 215 / 351 61.3% 69.0% 139 / 260 53.5% 68.4%
To the legs 246 / 389 63.2% 78.7% 177 / 265 66.8% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

6461.5% acc · 2.65/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
562.5% acc · 0.27/15 · norm 1.10
4276.4% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
10980.1% def · norm 64.1%
113:4931.4% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
21:027.5% of cage time · norm 19.4%
51:082:07 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
59:153:11 per 15 · norm 3:00
70.29/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
10.05/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Shevchenko has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.